In backtest, only 6% of 0x2b67…b814's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:21 UTC.
Only 6% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 6% only partly; the −$414.61 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x2b67…b814's 305 buys across 98 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$414.61, while the leader made +$7,347 at the same size. At a 5-minute delay a follower can't keep up: delay cost $7,753, slippage helped by +$35.88 and fees $44.85 outweigh whatever edge the leader had. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $1,140 at once across 37 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 153 estimated: 47 high · 65 medium · 41 low · 131 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$1,019; 1 min: −$963.16; 5 min: −$414.61; 30 min: −$689.04. Max drawdown −$414.61 (5 min, Oct 26). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | −$33.46 | −$34.50 | −$103.19 | −$230.77 |
| Sep 23 | −$53.14 | −$34.50 | −$103.19 | −$237.13 |
| Sep 24 | −$99.60 | −$56.91 | −$113.96 | −$246.31 |
| Sep 25 | −$113.30 | −$56.91 | −$113.96 | −$246.31 |
| Sep 26 | −$118.97 | −$61.54 | −$113.96 | −$251.19 |
| Sep 27 | −$118.97 | −$61.54 | −$113.96 | −$251.19 |
| Sep 28 | −$118.97 | −$61.54 | −$113.96 | −$251.19 |
| Sep 29 | −$118.97 | −$61.54 | −$113.96 | −$251.19 |
| Sep 30 | +$10.81 | +$74.48 | −$46.95 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 1 | +$67.07 | +$130.13 | −$28.03 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 2 | +$64.26 | +$127.33 | −$30.83 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 3 | +$64.26 | +$127.33 | −$30.83 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 4 | +$64.26 | +$127.33 | −$30.83 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 5 | +$64.26 | +$127.33 | −$30.83 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 6 | +$63.49 | +$127.00 | −$30.83 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 7 | +$63.49 | +$127.00 | −$30.83 | −$213.80 |
| Oct 8 | −$27.28 | +$51.17 | −$42.62 | −$257.27 |
| Oct 9 | −$27.28 | +$51.17 | −$42.62 | −$257.27 |
| Oct 10 | −$27.28 | +$51.17 | −$42.62 | −$257.27 |
| Oct 11 | −$34.40 | +$44.05 | −$42.62 | −$257.89 |
| Oct 12 | −$34.40 | +$44.05 | −$42.62 | −$257.89 |
| Oct 13 | −$39.36 | +$39.73 | −$42.97 | −$257.89 |
| Oct 14 | +$2.04 | +$49.43 | −$37.87 | −$257.25 |
| Oct 15 | +$2.04 | +$49.43 | −$37.87 | −$257.25 |
| Oct 16 | +$2.04 | +$49.43 | −$37.87 | −$257.25 |
| Oct 17 | −$11.97 | +$49.43 | −$39.07 | −$257.25 |
| Oct 18 | −$11.97 | +$49.43 | −$39.07 | −$257.25 |
| Oct 19 | +$158.63 | +$186.98 | −$39.07 | −$253.02 |
| Oct 20 | +$155.50 | +$161.85 | −$63.58 | −$295.89 |
| Oct 21 | +$155.50 | +$161.85 | −$63.58 | −$295.89 |
| Oct 22 | +$176.36 | +$173.66 | −$57.02 | −$294.43 |
| Oct 23 | +$193.23 | +$169.20 | −$61.48 | −$294.43 |
| Oct 24 | +$191.19 | +$167.16 | −$61.48 | −$294.43 |
| Oct 25 | +$189.10 | +$165.77 | −$61.48 | −$294.43 |
| Oct 26 | −$1,019 | −$963.16 | −$414.61 | −$689.04 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$1,019 | −13.9% | 10% |
| 1 min | −$963.16 | −13.1% | 10% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$414.61 | −5.6% | 6% |
| 30 min | −$689.04 | −9.4% | 6% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$7,347
- Delay cost−$7,753
- Slippage helped+$35.88
- Fees (buys $41.10 · sells $3.75)−$44.85
- Follower PnL−$414.61
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tech | 205 | −$34.83 | −2.5% |
| Finance | 73 | −$2.15 | −8.5% |
| Politics | 27 | −$377.63 | −45.9% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Tech traders
- 0x876b…1703Keeps 41% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xc004…c095Keeps 18% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7365…64daKeeps 20% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9578…f066Keeps 3% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x11f8…ed31Keeps −12% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x2110…5850Keeps 1% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Tech copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.