In backtest, only 15% of 0xe392…c023's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:23 UTC.
Only 15% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 14% only partly; the +$5,975 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xe392…c023's 2,311 buys across 174 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have kept 92% of the leader's returns: +$5,975 against +$6,488 for the leader at the same size. In this backtest, most of the edge survived the delay, and 15% of buys could be filled within 10 minutes. The remaining gap is the delay helped by +$493.00, slippage helped by +$148.90 and fees $1,155. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $5,380 at once across 675 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 1,475 estimated: 538 high · 675 medium · 262 low · 448 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$766.65; 1 min: +$1,727; 5 min: +$5,975; 30 min: +$2,999. Max drawdown −$3,868 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$553.84 | −$428.50 | −$773.32 | −$502.94 |
| Sep 22 | −$734.07 | −$707.06 | −$1,071 | −$717.85 |
| Sep 23 | −$1,188 | −$455.77 | −$524.15 | −$847.37 |
| Sep 24 | −$292.28 | +$522.01 | +$741.00 | −$16.49 |
| Sep 25 | −$1,489 | −$793.10 | −$536.64 | −$1,390 |
| Sep 26 | −$1,672 | −$986.99 | −$553.13 | −$1,600 |
| Sep 27 | −$1,668 | −$983.18 | −$548.69 | −$1,603 |
| Sep 28 | −$1,859 | −$1,163 | −$777.90 | −$2,051 |
| Sep 29 | −$1,570 | −$908.37 | −$516.11 | −$2,039 |
| Sep 30 | −$204.52 | +$451.05 | +$1,024 | +$383.38 |
| Oct 1 | +$64.81 | +$738.32 | +$1,249 | +$497.81 |
| Oct 2 | +$7,821 | +$9,205 | +$9,659 | +$6,121 |
| Oct 3 | +$7,886 | +$9,270 | +$9,724 | +$6,175 |
| Oct 4 | +$7,905 | +$9,289 | +$9,744 | +$6,179 |
| Oct 5 | +$7,968 | +$9,356 | +$9,806 | +$6,235 |
| Oct 6 | +$6,602 | +$7,991 | +$8,537 | +$4,656 |
| Oct 7 | +$5,096 | +$6,117 | +$7,162 | +$2,731 |
| Oct 8 | +$4,486 | +$5,292 | +$6,594 | +$2,153 |
| Oct 9 | +$4,512 | +$5,308 | +$6,585 | +$2,153 |
| Oct 10 | +$4,565 | +$5,366 | +$6,646 | +$2,205 |
| Oct 11 | +$4,565 | +$5,363 | +$6,642 | +$2,205 |
| Oct 12 | +$5,050 | +$5,795 | +$6,918 | +$2,605 |
| Oct 13 | +$5,387 | +$6,352 | +$7,432 | +$3,118 |
| Oct 14 | +$4,472 | +$5,435 | +$6,669 | +$2,411 |
| Oct 15 | +$5,968 | +$6,971 | +$9,501 | +$4,331 |
| Oct 16 | +$5,246 | +$6,238 | +$9,101 | +$4,002 |
| Oct 17 | +$5,273 | +$6,273 | +$9,136 | +$4,018 |
| Oct 18 | +$5,362 | +$6,359 | +$9,214 | +$4,084 |
| Oct 19 | +$4,625 | +$5,612 | +$8,639 | +$3,368 |
| Oct 20 | +$3,630 | +$4,412 | +$7,842 | +$2,821 |
| Oct 21 | +$1,671 | +$2,549 | +$6,740 | +$2,582 |
| Oct 22 | +$1,804 | +$2,706 | +$6,922 | +$2,895 |
| Oct 23 | +$1,627 | +$2,558 | +$6,781 | +$2,980 |
| Oct 24 | +$766.64 | +$1,727 | +$5,977 | +$2,997 |
| Oct 25 | +$766.64 | +$1,727 | +$5,977 | +$2,999 |
| Oct 26 | +$766.65 | +$1,727 | +$5,975 | +$2,999 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$766.65 | 11.8% | 16% |
| 1 min | +$1,727 | 26.6% | 17% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$5,975 | 92.1% | 15% |
| 30 min | +$2,999 | 46.3% | 12% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$6,488
- Delay helped+$493.00
- Slippage helped+$148.90
- Fees (buys $1,081 · sells $73.34)−$1,155
- Follower PnL+$5,975
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1,725 | +$5,473 | +14.5% |
| Finance | 585 | +$502.00 | +10.2% |
| Sports | 1 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe744…f96eKeeps 60% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x239a…a949Keeps 42% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x77e7…88adKeeps 41% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x21c5…3533Keeps 36% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.