In backtest, only 17% of 0x1191…c092's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 17% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 11% only partly; the −$167.30 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x1191…c092's 35 buys across 10 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$167.30. The leader lost $1,450 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$1,294, slippage $3.97 and fees $7.70. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $582.03 at once across 10 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 22 estimated: 1 high · 19 medium · 2 low · 6 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$116.17; 1 min: −$150.90; 5 min: −$167.30; 30 min: −$131.06. Max drawdown −$281.90 (5 min, Sep 30). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | +$55.70 | +$52.20 | +$57.72 | +$41.80 |
| Sep 25 | +$55.70 | +$52.20 | +$57.72 | +$41.80 |
| Sep 26 | +$55.70 | +$52.20 | +$57.72 | +$41.80 |
| Sep 27 | +$55.70 | +$52.20 | +$57.72 | +$41.80 |
| Sep 28 | −$113.98 | −$78.86 | +$34.82 | +$30.22 |
| Sep 29 | −$153.33 | −$78.86 | −$45.10 | +$28.24 |
| Sep 30 | −$253.82 | −$271.39 | −$224.18 | −$132.01 |
| Oct 1 | −$253.82 | −$271.39 | −$224.18 | −$132.01 |
| Oct 2 | −$253.82 | −$271.39 | −$224.18 | −$132.01 |
| Oct 3 | −$253.82 | −$271.39 | −$224.18 | −$132.01 |
| Oct 4 | −$253.82 | −$271.39 | −$224.18 | −$132.01 |
| Oct 5 | −$223.20 | −$240.77 | −$224.18 | −$131.06 |
| Oct 6 | −$223.20 | −$240.77 | −$224.18 | −$131.06 |
| Oct 7 | −$188.21 | −$205.77 | −$203.51 | −$131.06 |
| Oct 8 | −$188.21 | −$205.77 | −$203.51 | −$131.06 |
| Oct 9 | −$188.21 | −$205.77 | −$203.51 | −$131.06 |
| Oct 10 | −$188.21 | −$205.77 | −$203.51 | −$131.06 |
| Oct 11 | −$188.21 | −$205.77 | −$203.51 | −$131.06 |
| Oct 12 | −$116.17 | −$150.90 | −$167.30 | −$131.06 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$116.17 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 20% |
| 1 min | −$150.90 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 20% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$167.30 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 17% |
| 30 min | −$131.06 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 6% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$1,450
- Delay helped+$1,294
- Slippage−$3.97
- Fees (buys $6.35 · sells $1.35)−$7.70
- Follower PnL−$167.30
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tech | 35 | −$167.30 | −21.9% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Tech traders
- 0x876b…1703Keeps 41% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xc004…c095Keeps 18% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7365…64daKeeps 20% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x1bfd…40d0Leader lost money at this size
- 0xc695…dd85Leader lost money at this size
- 0x2b67…b814Keeps −6% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Tech copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.