In backtest, only 7% of 0x2322…3ede's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional1 buy is too recent to evaluate at this delay: the market data after it isn't indexed yet, so it's left out of these numbers. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:03 UTC.
Only 7% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 2% only partly; the +$8.30 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x2322…3ede's 1,291 buys across 360 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have kept only 13% of the leader's returns: +$8.30 against +$64.90 for the leader at the same size. Most of the edge is eaten before a follower can act: delay cost $53.71, slippage $0.87 and fees $2.02. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $909.98 at once across 114 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 907 estimated: 90 high · 718 medium · 99 low · 298 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$9.96; 1 min: +$9.18; 5 min: +$8.30; 30 min: +$2.48. Max drawdown −$1.40 (5 min, Oct 23). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +$0.01 |
| Sep 22 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +$0.01 |
| Sep 23 | +$0.19 | $0.00 | +$0.21 | +$0.40 |
| Sep 24 | +$0.39 | +$0.02 | +$0.21 | +$0.28 |
| Sep 25 | +$0.52 | +$0.30 | +$0.47 | +$0.48 |
| Sep 26 | +$0.83 | +$0.68 | +$0.75 | +$0.75 |
| Sep 27 | +$0.83 | +$0.68 | +$0.75 | +$0.75 |
| Sep 28 | +$0.87 | +$0.71 | +$0.79 | +$0.75 |
| Sep 29 | +$0.84 | +$0.66 | +$1.08 | +$0.91 |
| Sep 30 | +$0.81 | +$0.62 | +$1.10 | +$0.91 |
| Oct 1 | +$0.81 | +$0.63 | +$1.10 | +$0.91 |
| Oct 2 | +$0.81 | +$0.63 | +$1.14 | +$0.91 |
| Oct 3 | +$0.92 | +$0.73 | +$1.33 | +$1.11 |
| Oct 4 | +$1.02 | +$0.83 | +$1.43 | +$1.30 |
| Oct 5 | +$1.11 | +$0.92 | +$1.43 | +$1.55 |
| Oct 6 | +$1.16 | +$0.97 | +$1.47 | +$1.57 |
| Oct 7 | +$1.36 | +$1.15 | +$1.56 | +$1.57 |
| Oct 8 | +$1.36 | +$1.24 | +$1.64 | +$1.57 |
| Oct 9 | +$1.36 | +$1.25 | +$1.65 | +$1.57 |
| Oct 10 | +$1.43 | +$1.25 | +$1.65 | +$2.12 |
| Oct 11 | +$1.54 | +$1.47 | +$1.96 | +$2.12 |
| Oct 12 | +$1.70 | +$1.63 | +$2.13 | +$2.30 |
| Oct 13 | +$1.62 | +$1.55 | +$2.06 | +$2.35 |
| Oct 14 | +$2.07 | +$2.00 | +$2.53 | +$2.36 |
| Oct 15 | +$3.47 | +$3.21 | +$4.64 | +$0.66 |
| Oct 16 | +$3.85 | +$3.59 | +$5.01 | +$0.66 |
| Oct 17 | +$3.86 | +$3.60 | +$5.02 | +$0.66 |
| Oct 18 | +$4.55 | +$4.27 | +$5.29 | +$1.45 |
| Oct 19 | +$5.02 | +$4.75 | +$6.32 | +$1.14 |
| Oct 20 | +$6.79 | +$6.52 | +$6.76 | +$1.02 |
| Oct 21 | +$6.44 | +$6.16 | +$6.56 | +$1.73 |
| Oct 22 | +$7.69 | +$7.55 | +$7.69 | +$2.18 |
| Oct 23 | +$8.50 | +$7.72 | +$7.84 | +$1.82 |
| Oct 24 | +$9.71 | +$8.92 | +$8.03 | +$2.05 |
| Oct 25 | +$9.97 | +$9.19 | +$8.30 | +$2.48 |
| Oct 26 | +$9.96 | +$9.18 | +$8.30 | +$2.48 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$9.96 | 15.3% | 7% |
| 1 min | +$9.18 | 14.1% | 7% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$8.30 | 12.8% | 7% |
| 30 min | +$2.48 | 3.8% | 5% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$64.90
- Delay cost−$53.71
- Slippage−$0.87
- Fees (buys $1.37 · sells $0.65)−$2.02
- Follower PnL+$8.30
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1,290 | +$8.30 | +0.1% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x73a0…9342Keeps −289% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x60f1…cb3eKeeps −25% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x673b…b22bLeader lost money at this size
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.