In backtest, only 35% of 0xb084…9781's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 35% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 21% only partly; the +$360.29 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xb084…9781's 68 buys across 18 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have kept 91% of the leader's returns: +$360.29 against +$395.50 for the leader at the same size. In this backtest, most of the edge survived the delay, and 35% of buys could be filled within 10 minutes. The remaining gap is the delay helped by +$25.15, slippage $37.12 and fees $23.24. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $2,531 at once across 38 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 41 estimated: 4 high · 33 medium · 4 low · 3 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$350.40; 1 min: +$348.96; 5 min: +$360.29; 30 min: +$236.61. Max drawdown −$103.20 (5 min, Oct 19). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Sep 24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Sep 25 | +$30.77 | +$40.99 | +$35.54 | +$9.60 |
| Sep 26 | +$47.31 | +$56.37 | +$38.50 | +$15.63 |
| Sep 27 | −$29.25 | −$26.09 | +$31.17 | +$29.58 |
| Sep 28 | −$29.25 | −$26.09 | +$31.17 | +$29.58 |
| Sep 29 | −$29.25 | −$26.09 | +$31.17 | +$29.58 |
| Sep 30 | −$29.25 | −$26.09 | +$31.17 | +$29.58 |
| Oct 1 | −$29.25 | −$26.09 | +$31.17 | +$29.58 |
| Oct 2 | −$29.25 | −$26.09 | +$31.17 | +$29.58 |
| Oct 3 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 4 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 5 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 6 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 7 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 8 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 9 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 10 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 11 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 12 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 13 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 14 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 15 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 16 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 17 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 18 | +$422.09 | +$420.65 | +$463.49 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 19 | +$318.89 | +$317.45 | +$360.29 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 20 | +$318.89 | +$317.45 | +$360.29 | +$224.52 |
| Oct 21 | +$350.40 | +$348.96 | +$360.29 | +$236.61 |
| Oct 22 | +$350.40 | +$348.96 | +$360.29 | +$236.61 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$350.40 | 88.6% | 38% |
| 1 min | +$348.96 | 88.2% | 38% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$360.29 | 91.1% | 35% |
| 30 min | +$236.61 | 59.8% | 32% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$395.50
- Delay helped+$25.15
- Slippage−$37.12
- Fees (buys $23.16 · sells $0.08)−$23.24
- Follower PnL+$360.29
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Culture | 68 | +$360.29 | +11.3% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Culture traders
- 0xb260…715aBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7426…7b6dKeeps 44% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x88b6…3cffKeeps 34% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9199…dd2dKeeps 20% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe904…2d9fKeeps 16% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x33f8…c5e4Keeps 16% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Culture copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.