In backtest, only 16% of 0xb260…715a's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 16% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 21% only partly; the +$3,635 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xb260…715a's 815 buys across 167 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have made +$3,635 — more than the leader's +$2,584 at the same size, so the copier kept all of the leader's returns and more (140.7%). That happens when prices keep moving the leader's way after they buy and a later entry ends up cheaper: the delay helped by +$1,810, slippage $475.45 and fees $283.17. A small sample can flip this, so compare the other delays and the trades below. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $3,814 at once across 307 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 468 estimated: 169 high · 160 medium · 139 low · 174 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$4,314; 1 min: +$3,899; 5 min: +$3,635; 30 min: +$1,121. Max drawdown −$457.10 (5 min, Oct 21). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$122.05 | −$218.70 | −$341.39 | −$167.06 |
| Sep 22 | +$636.98 | +$303.31 | −$7.12 | −$20.33 |
| Sep 23 | +$432.96 | −$71.68 | −$144.90 | −$40.22 |
| Sep 24 | +$439.33 | −$67.83 | −$140.96 | −$23.40 |
| Sep 25 | +$1,130 | +$505.34 | +$352.48 | +$152.51 |
| Sep 26 | +$1,197 | +$566.48 | +$442.83 | +$185.44 |
| Sep 27 | +$1,313 | +$666.02 | +$501.16 | +$89.68 |
| Sep 28 | +$1,313 | +$662.43 | +$501.16 | +$90.52 |
| Sep 29 | +$1,304 | +$662.43 | +$501.16 | +$59.35 |
| Sep 30 | +$1,260 | +$608.21 | +$436.75 | −$16.30 |
| Oct 1 | +$1,256 | +$539.02 | +$362.39 | +$19.55 |
| Oct 2 | +$1,216 | +$501.90 | +$362.47 | +$48.10 |
| Oct 3 | +$1,482 | +$758.30 | +$524.20 | +$496.36 |
| Oct 4 | +$1,504 | +$767.39 | +$532.83 | +$509.19 |
| Oct 5 | +$1,539 | +$792.54 | +$582.15 | +$579.56 |
| Oct 6 | +$1,540 | +$792.57 | +$582.19 | +$579.56 |
| Oct 7 | +$1,535 | +$785.16 | +$587.20 | +$587.76 |
| Oct 8 | +$1,547 | +$796.17 | +$589.15 | +$590.60 |
| Oct 9 | +$1,772 | +$966.56 | +$680.93 | +$591.54 |
| Oct 10 | +$1,739 | +$908.63 | +$692.88 | +$669.00 |
| Oct 11 | +$1,552 | +$784.58 | +$555.32 | +$627.18 |
| Oct 12 | +$1,564 | +$798.18 | +$558.25 | +$707.47 |
| Oct 13 | +$1,539 | +$789.05 | +$543.40 | +$763.76 |
| Oct 14 | +$1,539 | +$789.05 | +$543.40 | +$763.76 |
| Oct 15 | +$1,543 | +$789.05 | +$543.40 | +$763.76 |
| Oct 16 | +$1,762 | +$1,026 | +$765.58 | +$824.57 |
| Oct 17 | +$1,702 | +$953.44 | +$889.73 | +$1,141 |
| Oct 18 | +$1,964 | +$1,399 | +$1,299 | +$1,077 |
| Oct 19 | +$1,976 | +$1,394 | +$1,327 | +$851.76 |
| Oct 20 | +$2,020 | +$1,512 | +$1,246 | +$846.29 |
| Oct 21 | +$1,963 | +$1,484 | +$1,104 | +$797.21 |
| Oct 22 | +$2,045 | +$1,594 | +$1,440 | +$970.12 |
| Oct 23 | +$2,088 | +$1,672 | +$1,503 | +$993.30 |
| Oct 24 | +$3,675 | +$3,196 | +$3,019 | +$941.30 |
| Oct 25 | +$4,314 | +$3,899 | +$3,635 | +$1,121 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$4,314 | 100%+ (Exactly 167.0%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 20% |
| 1 min | +$3,899 | 100%+ (Exactly 150.9%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 18% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$3,635 | 100%+ (Exactly 140.7%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 16% |
| 30 min | +$1,121 | 43.4% | 14% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$2,584
- Delay helped+$1,810
- Slippage−$475.45
- Fees (buys $259.29 · sells $23.88)−$283.17
- Follower PnL+$3,635
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Culture | 746 | +$910.82 | +7.0% |
| Sports | 68 | +$2,725 | +57.9% |
| Tech | 1 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Culture traders
- 0xb084…9781Keeps 91% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7426…7b6dKeeps 44% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x88b6…3cffKeeps 34% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9199…dd2dKeeps 20% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe904…2d9fKeeps 16% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x33f8…c5e4Keeps 16% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Culture copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.