In backtest, only 5% of 0x252d…c456's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:13 UTC.
Only 5% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 9% only partly; the −$1,280 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x252d…c456's 2,882 buys across 238 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$1,280, while the leader made +$32,852 at the same size. At a 5-minute delay a follower can't keep up: delay cost $33,477, slippage $114.14 and fees $541.59 outweigh whatever edge the leader had. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $6,378 at once across 395 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 1,546 estimated: 300 high · 832 medium · 414 low · 1,107 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$7,233; 1 min: +$5,508; 5 min: −$1,280; 30 min: −$531.02. Max drawdown −$2,027 (5 min, Sep 21). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | +$1,577 | +$869.24 | −$1,804 | +$92.68 |
| Sep 22 | +$2,387 | +$1,685 | −$1,380 | +$337.58 |
| Sep 23 | +$2,967 | +$2,112 | −$1,151 | +$391.97 |
| Sep 24 | +$3,235 | +$2,030 | −$1,116 | +$418.23 |
| Sep 25 | +$3,290 | +$2,086 | −$1,057 | +$279.06 |
| Sep 26 | +$3,267 | +$2,077 | −$1,067 | +$282.30 |
| Sep 27 | +$6,580 | +$4,819 | −$1,049 | +$229.28 |
| Sep 28 | +$6,349 | +$4,497 | −$1,331 | +$164.78 |
| Sep 29 | +$6,036 | +$4,165 | −$1,587 | −$318.37 |
| Sep 30 | +$5,929 | +$4,004 | −$1,593 | −$349.84 |
| Oct 1 | +$6,348 | +$4,410 | −$1,531 | −$371.75 |
| Oct 2 | +$7,148 | +$4,856 | −$929.99 | −$166.98 |
| Oct 3 | +$7,107 | +$4,897 | −$855.70 | −$174.93 |
| Oct 4 | +$6,906 | +$4,902 | −$850.79 | −$174.93 |
| Oct 5 | +$6,917 | +$4,914 | −$945.17 | −$175.55 |
| Oct 6 | +$7,035 | +$4,883 | −$974.05 | +$30.04 |
| Oct 7 | +$7,804 | +$5,724 | −$509.68 | −$25.71 |
| Oct 8 | +$8,411 | +$6,118 | −$328.95 | +$346.17 |
| Oct 9 | +$8,388 | +$6,094 | −$347.42 | +$389.76 |
| Oct 10 | +$8,388 | +$6,094 | −$347.42 | +$390.60 |
| Oct 11 | +$8,433 | +$6,117 | −$285.95 | +$420.58 |
| Oct 12 | +$8,372 | +$6,117 | −$287.59 | +$422.42 |
| Oct 13 | +$8,055 | +$5,908 | −$411.17 | +$424.80 |
| Oct 14 | +$8,042 | +$5,901 | −$424.01 | +$418.04 |
| Oct 15 | +$8,010 | +$5,913 | −$397.48 | +$367.07 |
| Oct 16 | +$7,930 | +$5,835 | −$397.48 | +$339.42 |
| Oct 17 | +$7,662 | +$5,561 | −$621.21 | +$339.62 |
| Oct 18 | +$6,896 | +$5,026 | −$1,017 | +$327.09 |
| Oct 19 | +$6,954 | +$5,085 | −$961.66 | +$352.09 |
| Oct 20 | +$7,047 | +$5,297 | −$848.35 | +$344.51 |
| Oct 21 | +$7,028 | +$5,276 | −$852.14 | +$325.42 |
| Oct 22 | +$7,039 | +$5,320 | −$813.10 | +$343.71 |
| Oct 23 | +$6,964 | +$5,245 | −$789.08 | +$365.98 |
| Oct 24 | +$7,143 | +$5,418 | −$1,389 | −$651.05 |
| Oct 25 | +$7,217 | +$5,491 | −$1,300 | −$531.02 |
| Oct 26 | +$7,233 | +$5,508 | −$1,280 | −$531.02 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$7,233 | 22.0% | 9% |
| 1 min | +$5,508 | 16.8% | 7% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$1,280 | −3.9% | 5% |
| 30 min | −$531.02 | −1.6% | 3% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$32,852
- Delay cost−$33,477
- Slippage−$114.14
- Fees (buys $541.59 · sells $0.00)−$541.59
- Follower PnL−$1,280
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 2,882 | −$1,280 | −6.5% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x50b6…9272Leader lost money at this size
- 0x6e2c…b7f8Keeps −20% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x744c…e37fLeader lost money at this size
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.