In backtest, only 18% of 0x5b21…cc4c's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 18% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 11% only partly; the −$105.33 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x5b21…cc4c's 347 buys across 143 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$105.33. The leader lost $36.73 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$3.93, slippage $13.32 and fees $59.21. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $1,423 at once across 100 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 103 estimated: 0 high · 36 medium · 67 low · 174 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$115.34; 1 min: −$38.50; 5 min: −$105.33; 30 min: −$96.56. Max drawdown −$240.65 (5 min, Sep 25). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$4.44 | −$70.92 | −$124.30 | −$101.93 |
| Sep 22 | +$184.22 | +$110.77 | −$69.35 | −$2.66 |
| Sep 23 | +$96.86 | −$61.40 | −$159.51 | −$174.15 |
| Sep 24 | +$212.18 | −$94.80 | −$171.15 | −$97.72 |
| Sep 25 | +$80.79 | −$85.52 | −$179.59 | −$170.18 |
| Sep 26 | +$115.34 | −$38.50 | −$105.33 | −$96.56 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$115.34 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 33% |
| 1 min | −$38.50 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 26% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$105.33 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 18% |
| 30 min | −$96.56 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 14% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$36.73
- Delay helped+$3.93
- Slippage−$13.32
- Fees (buys $47.06 · sells $12.15)−$59.21
- Follower PnL−$105.33
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 347 | −$105.33 | −1.4% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7a2a…7ec2Leader lost money at this size
- 0x295f…4edbLeader lost money at this size
- 0x71a7…6fcfLeader lost money at this size
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.