In backtest, only 15% of 0x71a7…6fcf's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 15% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 13% only partly; the +$290.59 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x71a7…6fcf's 1,670 buys across 185 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at +$290.59. The leader lost $6,055 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep; the copier only came out ahead because later prices happened to be better: the delay helped by +$7,187, slippage $282.53 and fees $559.17. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $4,061 at once across 476 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 755 estimated: 149 high · 460 medium · 146 low · 615 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$2,451; 1 min: +$2,059; 5 min: +$290.59; 30 min: −$2,204. Max drawdown −$3,006 (5 min, Oct 1). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | +$1,477 | +$1,354 | +$789.95 | −$734.35 |
| Sep 22 | +$1,481 | +$1,402 | +$816.10 | −$706.21 |
| Sep 23 | +$1,523 | +$1,457 | +$627.89 | −$752.32 |
| Sep 24 | +$1,495 | +$1,261 | +$212.92 | −$898.12 |
| Sep 25 | +$3,301 | +$3,266 | +$1,452 | −$456.57 |
| Sep 26 | +$3,098 | +$3,076 | +$1,210 | −$657.35 |
| Sep 27 | +$2,532 | +$2,481 | +$595.24 | −$1,201 |
| Sep 28 | +$2,411 | +$2,508 | +$733.46 | −$1,361 |
| Sep 29 | +$1,592 | +$1,731 | +$52.96 | −$1,490 |
| Sep 30 | +$1,544 | +$1,703 | −$236.98 | −$1,573 |
| Oct 1 | +$2,002 | +$2,032 | +$279.01 | −$916.72 |
| Oct 2 | +$2,029 | +$2,056 | +$267.03 | −$1,032 |
| Oct 3 | +$2,052 | +$2,080 | +$292.23 | −$972.28 |
| Oct 4 | +$1,954 | +$2,072 | +$294.26 | −$972.28 |
| Oct 5 | +$1,954 | +$2,072 | +$294.26 | −$972.28 |
| Oct 6 | +$1,955 | +$2,072 | +$294.29 | −$972.06 |
| Oct 7 | +$2,297 | +$2,414 | +$635.38 | −$955.37 |
| Oct 8 | +$2,709 | +$2,525 | +$684.85 | −$892.11 |
| Oct 9 | +$2,714 | +$2,529 | +$598.34 | −$939.73 |
| Oct 10 | +$2,714 | +$2,529 | +$598.34 | −$939.73 |
| Oct 11 | +$2,658 | +$2,503 | +$584.51 | −$918.72 |
| Oct 12 | +$3,476 | +$3,273 | +$1,241 | −$674.24 |
| Oct 13 | +$3,525 | +$3,323 | +$1,287 | −$749.80 |
| Oct 14 | +$3,717 | +$3,402 | +$1,352 | −$716.53 |
| Oct 15 | +$3,804 | +$3,587 | +$1,467 | −$711.20 |
| Oct 16 | +$3,597 | +$3,436 | +$1,402 | −$921.94 |
| Oct 17 | +$3,603 | +$3,443 | +$1,409 | −$916.19 |
| Oct 18 | +$3,623 | +$3,457 | +$1,409 | −$913.33 |
| Oct 19 | +$3,648 | +$3,484 | +$1,435 | −$892.53 |
| Oct 20 | +$3,655 | +$3,405 | +$1,359 | −$994.30 |
| Oct 21 | +$2,405 | +$2,028 | +$252.11 | −$2,267 |
| Oct 22 | +$2,384 | +$1,998 | +$260.40 | −$2,230 |
| Oct 23 | +$2,423 | +$2,034 | +$283.27 | −$2,200 |
| Oct 24 | +$2,434 | +$2,044 | +$295.74 | −$2,205 |
| Oct 25 | +$2,451 | +$2,059 | +$290.59 | −$2,204 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$2,451 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 18% |
| 1 min | +$2,059 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 17% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$290.59 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 15% |
| 30 min | −$2,204 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 11% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$6,055
- Delay helped+$7,187
- Slippage−$282.53
- Fees (buys $559.17 · sells $0.00)−$559.17
- Follower PnL+$290.59
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1,670 | +$290.59 | +0.9% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7f3c…5613Keeps 12% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xa2f1…2d22Leader lost money at this size
- 0xa8ef…1f28Leader lost money at this size
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.