FollowCheck 中文

In backtest, only 11% of 0x6db9…4ab5's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay

Crypto 0x6db983ff1cbc85249e64e6ccd101aaa613ba4ab5 Profile on Polymarket

ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:09 UTC.

Only 11% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 5% only partly; the −$9,052 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x6db9…4ab5's 1,261 buys across 71 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$9,052. The leader lost $6,429 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $2,082, slippage helped by +$3.32 and fees $544.28. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $10,206 at once across 197 positions.

Copy delay

Each time the trader buys, the simulation copies this much. Not a total budget.

Key numbers

Follower PnL
−$9,052
Incl. estimates −$2,663
Max drawdown −$10,181
ROI −62.9% on total cost
Returns kept
n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)
Leader, same size −$6,429
leader lost money
Peak capital in use
$10,206
Incl. estimates $30,384
1,261 copied buys · $14,389 total cost
Fill rate
11%
Most buys couldn't be fully copied
Incl. estimates 33%
135 filled · 62 partial · 1,064 no buyers
Backtest score
18/100
1,261 buys · 71 markets

The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 342 estimated: 116 high · 159 medium · 67 low · 765 thin How we estimate

Cumulative PnL across all copied positions

X axis
Max drawdown −$10k

Final values: 0 min: −$8,458; 1 min: −$8,735; 5 min: −$9,052; 30 min: −$2,718. Max drawdown −$10,181 (5 min, Oct 4). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.

Chart data by day
Day (UTC)0 min1 min5 min30 min
Sep 21−$125.43−$291.57−$244.34−$252.93
Sep 22−$181.54−$346.11−$283.93−$276.88
Sep 23−$185.99−$350.56−$288.38−$279.36
Sep 24−$185.99−$350.56−$288.38−$279.36
Sep 25−$185.99−$350.56−$288.38−$279.36
Sep 26−$185.99−$350.56−$288.38−$279.36
Sep 27−$191.33−$355.90−$293.72−$279.36
Sep 28−$372.33−$536.89−$474.71−$386.58
Sep 29−$431.57−$606.69−$544.51−$452.52
Sep 30−$441.76−$616.89−$559.52−$455.21
Oct 1−$378.66−$552.68−$527.58−$305.77
Oct 2−$219.83−$448.84−$401.52+$6.74
Oct 3−$184.59−$413.09−$361.69+$557.61
Oct 4−$10,003−$10,233−$10,181−$9,294
Oct 5−$7,690−$7,902−$8,916−$3,854
Oct 6−$7,788−$8,002−$8,990−$3,972
Oct 7−$7,788−$8,002−$8,990−$3,972
Oct 8−$7,918−$8,124−$9,065−$4,232
Oct 9−$7,918−$8,124−$9,065−$4,232
Oct 10−$7,918−$8,124−$9,065−$4,232
Oct 11−$7,538−$7,591−$8,420−$4,092
Oct 12−$7,267−$7,474−$8,420−$4,087
Oct 13−$7,243−$7,447−$8,420−$4,087
Oct 14−$7,093−$7,295−$7,998−$3,631
Oct 15−$7,093−$7,295−$7,998−$3,631
Oct 16−$7,093−$7,295−$7,998−$3,631
Oct 17−$7,093−$7,295−$7,998−$3,631
Oct 18−$7,093−$7,295−$7,998−$3,674
Oct 19−$6,988−$7,104−$7,800−$3,426
Oct 20−$7,083−$7,361−$7,743−$2,703
Oct 21−$7,083−$7,361−$7,743−$2,703
Oct 22−$7,083−$7,361−$7,743−$2,703
Oct 23−$7,083−$7,361−$7,743−$2,703
Oct 24−$7,083−$7,361−$7,743−$2,703
Oct 25−$8,262−$8,539−$8,864−$2,718
Oct 26−$8,458−$8,735−$9,052−$2,718

Every delay side by side

DelayFollower PnLKeptFilled
0 min−$8,458n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)11%
1 min−$8,735n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)11%
5 min (selected)−$9,052n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)11%
30 min−$2,718n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)12%

Where the returns go

  1. Leader PnL at your size−$6,429
  2. Delay cost−$2,082
  3. Slippage helped+$3.32
  4. Fees (buys $511.48 · sells $32.80)−$544.28
  5. Follower PnL−$9,052

Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.

By category

CategoryTradesFollower PnLROI
Crypto787−$629.78−71.3%
Politics369−$7,715−62.6%
Sports88−$707.73−59.8%
Economy16−$0.17−33.5%
Culture1$0.000.0%

Data version 12075 · computed Oct 26, 2026 · 547 unsettled positions marked at the last traded price.

Trades

Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.

How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.

Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate

Show
Order
Date Market Leader price Copy price Fill Fill basis Follower PnL Details
Trades load from the live API when this section is visible.
Page 1

More Crypto traders

See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.

This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.