In backtest, only 13% of 0xcc50…4c82's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:06 UTC.
Only 13% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 17% only partly; the −$645.92 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xcc50…4c82's 4,521 buys across 211 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$645.92, while the leader made +$10,633 at the same size. At a 5-minute delay a follower can't keep up: delay cost $8,054, slippage $1,340 and fees $1,884 outweigh whatever edge the leader had. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $29,782 at once across 1,386 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 2,663 estimated: 630 high · 1,364 medium · 669 low · 1,104 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$4,919; 1 min: +$1,858; 5 min: −$645.92; 30 min: +$4,973. Max drawdown −$4,332 (5 min, Sep 23). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$2,253 | −$1,996 | −$2,728 | −$319.65 |
| Sep 22 | −$2,678 | −$2,545 | −$3,084 | −$997.16 |
| Sep 23 | −$1,718 | −$1,417 | −$2,731 | −$783.17 |
| Sep 24 | −$2,628 | −$2,303 | −$3,386 | −$1,029 |
| Sep 25 | −$2,325 | −$2,097 | −$3,395 | −$1,226 |
| Sep 26 | −$2,044 | −$1,739 | −$3,183 | −$1,227 |
| Sep 27 | −$2,102 | −$1,954 | −$3,194 | −$1,072 |
| Sep 28 | +$825.54 | +$64.62 | −$1,323 | +$4,177 |
| Sep 29 | +$1,718 | +$992.04 | −$938.83 | +$4,275 |
| Sep 30 | +$4,442 | +$2,855 | +$400.27 | +$4,863 |
| Oct 1 | +$3,059 | +$1,381 | −$751.04 | +$4,523 |
| Oct 2 | +$4,194 | +$1,039 | −$1,798 | +$4,252 |
| Oct 3 | +$4,199 | +$1,045 | −$1,779 | +$4,252 |
| Oct 4 | +$4,191 | +$1,105 | −$1,766 | +$4,161 |
| Oct 5 | +$3,875 | +$1,032 | −$1,891 | +$4,015 |
| Oct 6 | +$3,919 | +$1,208 | −$1,761 | +$4,183 |
| Oct 7 | +$3,934 | +$1,131 | −$1,485 | +$4,530 |
| Oct 8 | +$2,952 | +$511.10 | −$2,126 | +$4,362 |
| Oct 9 | +$2,942 | +$511.02 | −$2,205 | +$4,336 |
| Oct 10 | +$2,942 | +$511.02 | −$2,205 | +$4,336 |
| Oct 11 | +$2,815 | +$291.79 | −$2,308 | +$4,387 |
| Oct 12 | +$3,018 | +$504.15 | −$1,961 | +$5,944 |
| Oct 13 | +$3,086 | +$566.71 | −$1,935 | +$6,064 |
| Oct 14 | +$2,280 | −$27.35 | −$2,663 | +$5,036 |
| Oct 15 | +$3,007 | +$435.15 | −$2,066 | +$5,211 |
| Oct 16 | +$3,210 | +$545.11 | −$1,935 | +$5,529 |
| Oct 17 | +$3,193 | +$562.64 | −$1,931 | +$5,424 |
| Oct 18 | +$3,315 | +$744.34 | −$1,843 | +$5,512 |
| Oct 19 | +$3,299 | +$770.73 | −$1,829 | +$5,523 |
| Oct 20 | +$4,310 | +$1,759 | −$642.15 | +$5,758 |
| Oct 21 | +$4,333 | +$1,352 | −$887.76 | +$5,316 |
| Oct 22 | +$4,514 | +$1,496 | −$829.66 | +$5,153 |
| Oct 23 | +$4,634 | +$1,635 | −$808.64 | +$5,170 |
| Oct 24 | +$4,996 | +$1,913 | −$605.93 | +$5,025 |
| Oct 25 | +$4,944 | +$1,890 | −$626.04 | +$4,973 |
| Oct 26 | +$4,919 | +$1,858 | −$645.92 | +$4,973 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$4,919 | 46.3% | 19% |
| 1 min | +$1,858 | 17.5% | 15% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$645.92 | −6.1% | 13% |
| 30 min | +$4,973 | 46.8% | 10% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$10,633
- Delay cost−$8,054
- Slippage−$1,340
- Fees (buys $1,884 · sells $0.00)−$1,884
- Follower PnL−$645.92
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 4,521 | −$645.92 | −0.8% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf16f…9f16Keeps −5% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5e32…3334Keeps 5% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x80cd…0273Leader lost money at this size
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.