In backtest, only 28% of 0xa8ef…1f28's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 28% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 22% only partly; the +$126.21 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xa8ef…1f28's 74 buys across 25 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at +$126.21. The leader lost $1,358 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep; the copier only came out ahead because later prices happened to be better: the delay helped by +$1,476, slippage helped by +$111.01 and fees $102.77. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $1,180 at once across 37 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 41 estimated: 1 high · 33 medium · 7 low · 9 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$57.48; 1 min: −$75.62; 5 min: +$126.21; 30 min: −$660.37. Max drawdown −$695.72 (5 min, Sep 21). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$456.34 | −$419.70 | −$402.45 | −$186.45 |
| Sep 22 | −$15.94 | +$40.16 | +$252.53 | −$113.79 |
| Sep 23 | −$144.71 | −$89.23 | +$136.25 | −$286.75 |
| Sep 24 | −$248.27 | −$300.46 | −$73.66 | −$380.79 |
| Sep 25 | +$185.33 | +$133.15 | +$317.77 | −$432.60 |
| Sep 26 | +$146.41 | +$102.10 | +$313.66 | −$638.52 |
| Sep 27 | +$93.14 | +$48.82 | +$260.38 | −$645.09 |
| Sep 28 | +$93.14 | +$48.82 | +$260.38 | −$645.09 |
| Sep 29 | +$93.14 | +$48.82 | +$260.38 | −$645.09 |
| Sep 30 | +$93.14 | +$48.82 | +$260.38 | −$645.09 |
| Oct 1 | +$93.14 | +$48.82 | +$260.38 | −$645.09 |
| Oct 2 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 3 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 4 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 5 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 6 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 7 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 8 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 9 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 10 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 11 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 12 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 13 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 14 | −$8.96 | −$53.41 | +$158.14 | −$659.58 |
| Oct 15 | +$57.48 | −$75.62 | +$126.21 | −$660.37 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$57.48 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 24% |
| 1 min | −$75.62 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 28% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$126.21 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 28% |
| 30 min | −$660.37 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 28% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$1,358
- Delay helped+$1,476
- Slippage helped+$111.01
- Fees (buys $99.06 · sells $3.71)−$102.77
- Follower PnL+$126.21
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 74 | +$126.21 | +5.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xdea2…a81eKeeps −76% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x4cdb…172cLeader lost money at this size
- 0x55be…dca3Leader lost money at this size
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.