In backtest, only 3% of 0x743d…f77e's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 3% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 7% only partly; the +$13.00 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x743d…f77e's 238 buys across 73 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at +$13.00. The leader lost $2,067 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep; the copier only came out ahead because later prices happened to be better: the delay helped by +$2,098, slippage $7.42 and fees $10.01. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $431.41 at once across 24 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 176 estimated: 36 high · 83 medium · 57 low · 54 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$226.15; 1 min: +$4.30; 5 min: +$13.00; 30 min: −$67.34. Max drawdown −$101.77 (5 min, Sep 21). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$61.79 | −$94.43 | −$101.77 | −$0.20 |
| Sep 22 | −$61.79 | −$94.43 | −$101.77 | −$0.20 |
| Sep 23 | −$37.56 | −$94.43 | −$101.77 | +$143.88 |
| Sep 24 | +$15.81 | +$36.46 | +$26.23 | +$200.67 |
| Sep 25 | −$20.32 | +$0.34 | −$9.90 | +$61.38 |
| Sep 26 | −$15.00 | +$11.92 | −$1.27 | −$41.69 |
| Sep 27 | −$62.86 | −$35.94 | −$49.13 | −$41.69 |
| Sep 28 | −$72.85 | −$35.61 | −$48.81 | −$67.81 |
| Sep 29 | −$72.85 | −$35.61 | −$33.37 | −$67.81 |
| Sep 30 | −$72.85 | −$35.61 | −$33.37 | −$67.81 |
| Oct 1 | −$72.85 | −$35.61 | −$33.37 | −$67.81 |
| Oct 2 | −$72.85 | −$35.61 | −$33.37 | −$67.81 |
| Oct 3 | −$72.81 | −$35.58 | −$33.37 | −$66.48 |
| Oct 4 | −$72.24 | −$35.01 | −$32.80 | −$66.19 |
| Oct 5 | −$67.28 | −$30.06 | −$28.52 | −$31.39 |
| Oct 6 | −$67.28 | −$30.06 | −$28.52 | −$31.39 |
| Oct 7 | −$67.28 | −$30.06 | −$28.52 | −$31.39 |
| Oct 8 | −$67.28 | −$30.06 | −$28.52 | −$31.39 |
| Oct 9 | −$67.28 | −$30.06 | −$28.52 | −$31.39 |
| Oct 10 | −$59.60 | −$26.71 | −$15.45 | −$18.79 |
| Oct 11 | −$57.31 | −$25.02 | −$13.92 | −$18.43 |
| Oct 12 | −$65.07 | −$36.43 | −$25.58 | −$9.42 |
| Oct 13 | −$65.07 | −$36.43 | −$25.58 | −$9.42 |
| Oct 14 | −$65.07 | −$36.43 | −$25.58 | −$9.42 |
| Oct 15 | −$64.66 | −$36.27 | −$25.56 | −$9.40 |
| Oct 16 | −$64.66 | −$36.27 | −$25.56 | −$9.40 |
| Oct 17 | −$60.57 | −$33.33 | −$22.62 | −$9.15 |
| Oct 18 | −$63.03 | −$33.33 | −$22.62 | −$9.15 |
| Oct 19 | −$226.15 | +$4.30 | +$13.00 | −$67.34 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$226.15 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 4% |
| 1 min | +$4.30 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 3% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$13.00 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 3% |
| 30 min | −$67.34 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 5% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$2,067
- Delay helped+$2,098
- Slippage−$7.42
- Fees (buys $9.62 · sells $0.39)−$10.01
- Follower PnL+$13.00
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Culture | 211 | +$12.68 | +1.1% |
| Finance | 24 | +$0.33 | +1.7% |
| Weather | 3 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Culture traders
- 0xb260…715aBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xb084…9781Keeps 91% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7426…7b6dKeeps 44% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xb028…8686Leader lost money at this size
- 0xc412…592dLeader lost money at this size
- 0xc58f…e0aaKeeps −7% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Culture copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.