In backtest, only 8% of 0x80cd…0273's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 8% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 8% only partly; the −$51.66 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x80cd…0273's 1,022 buys across 72 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$51.66. The leader lost $1,719 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$1,981, slippage $101.22 and fees $212.59. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $2,853 at once across 166 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 415 estimated: 7 high · 203 medium · 205 low · 499 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$140.54; 1 min: +$377.34; 5 min: −$51.66; 30 min: +$1,208. Max drawdown −$1,205 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$135.95 | −$55.98 | −$252.36 | +$1,398 |
| Sep 22 | −$113.10 | −$9.11 | −$223.25 | +$1,411 |
| Sep 23 | +$23.94 | +$82.64 | −$169.16 | +$1,286 |
| Sep 24 | +$43.63 | +$73.64 | −$164.80 | +$1,297 |
| Sep 25 | +$439.33 | +$466.84 | +$269.35 | +$1,584 |
| Sep 26 | +$427.73 | +$449.41 | +$265.78 | +$1,586 |
| Sep 27 | +$408.34 | +$438.29 | +$175.31 | +$1,649 |
| Sep 28 | +$276.70 | +$266.94 | +$3.10 | +$1,451 |
| Sep 29 | +$618.06 | +$543.85 | +$164.69 | +$1,708 |
| Sep 30 | +$777.33 | +$667.06 | +$276.56 | +$1,800 |
| Oct 1 | +$833.93 | +$723.66 | +$302.91 | +$1,721 |
| Oct 2 | +$1,456 | +$1,882 | +$1,150 | +$1,378 |
| Oct 3 | +$1,456 | +$1,882 | +$1,150 | +$1,378 |
| Oct 4 | +$1,160 | +$1,585 | +$852.69 | +$1,314 |
| Oct 5 | +$1,214 | +$1,482 | +$749.45 | +$1,303 |
| Oct 6 | +$745.52 | +$1,182 | +$572.34 | +$1,323 |
| Oct 7 | +$781.11 | +$1,213 | +$584.23 | +$1,336 |
| Oct 8 | +$781.11 | +$1,213 | +$584.23 | +$1,336 |
| Oct 9 | +$786.72 | +$1,219 | +$584.68 | +$1,339 |
| Oct 10 | +$786.72 | +$1,219 | +$584.68 | +$1,339 |
| Oct 11 | +$573.41 | +$1,006 | +$371.36 | +$1,339 |
| Oct 12 | +$573.41 | +$1,006 | +$371.36 | +$1,339 |
| Oct 13 | +$573.41 | +$1,006 | +$371.36 | +$1,339 |
| Oct 14 | +$573.41 | +$1,006 | +$371.36 | +$1,339 |
| Oct 15 | +$494.97 | +$906.10 | +$371.36 | +$1,367 |
| Oct 16 | +$494.97 | +$906.10 | +$371.36 | +$1,367 |
| Oct 17 | +$494.97 | +$906.10 | +$371.36 | +$1,367 |
| Oct 18 | +$248.92 | +$765.73 | +$230.99 | +$1,367 |
| Oct 19 | +$247.09 | +$763.89 | +$230.99 | +$1,369 |
| Oct 20 | +$247.09 | +$763.89 | +$230.99 | +$1,369 |
| Oct 21 | +$163.98 | +$680.79 | +$221.96 | +$1,365 |
| Oct 22 | +$163.98 | +$680.79 | +$221.96 | +$1,365 |
| Oct 23 | +$163.98 | +$680.79 | +$221.96 | +$1,365 |
| Oct 24 | −$142.07 | +$377.34 | −$51.66 | +$1,206 |
| Oct 25 | −$140.54 | +$377.34 | −$51.66 | +$1,208 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$140.54 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 9% |
| 1 min | +$377.34 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 9% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$51.66 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 8% |
| 30 min | +$1,208 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 4% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$1,719
- Delay helped+$1,981
- Slippage−$101.22
- Fees (buys $212.59 · sells $0.00)−$212.59
- Follower PnL−$51.66
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1,022 | −$51.66 | −0.5% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xa2c9…9c10Leader lost money at this size
- 0xd04e…41b8Keeps −3% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe9c6…95c9Leader lost money at this size
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.