In backtest, only 14% of 0x55be…dca3's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 14% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 18% only partly; the −$4,478 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x55be…dca3's 1,737 buys across 169 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$4,478. The leader lost $3,267 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $632.77, slippage $97.23 and fees $480.57. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $9,917 at once across 562 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 737 estimated: 62 high · 444 medium · 231 low · 658 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$3,267; 1 min: −$3,038; 5 min: −$4,478; 30 min: −$4,524. Max drawdown −$5,606 (5 min, Oct 2). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | +$18.48 | +$387.83 | −$213.84 | −$502.78 |
| Sep 22 | −$421.10 | −$42.32 | −$920.87 | −$898.62 |
| Sep 23 | −$410.77 | +$54.09 | −$910.07 | −$875.04 |
| Sep 24 | −$278.59 | +$15.74 | −$1,020 | −$783.29 |
| Sep 25 | −$318.34 | −$81.47 | −$936.42 | −$644.29 |
| Sep 26 | −$316.07 | −$81.21 | −$915.61 | −$631.26 |
| Sep 27 | −$280.97 | −$64.20 | −$910.35 | −$574.02 |
| Sep 28 | −$310.92 | −$95.31 | −$1,083 | −$683.75 |
| Sep 29 | −$247.29 | −$56.96 | −$1,181 | −$844.70 |
| Sep 30 | −$120.31 | −$42.89 | −$1,171 | −$941.03 |
| Oct 1 | −$212.80 | −$305.07 | −$1,291 | −$1,014 |
| Oct 2 | −$3,895 | −$3,730 | −$4,730 | −$4,053 |
| Oct 3 | −$3,891 | −$3,729 | −$4,729 | −$4,051 |
| Oct 4 | −$3,891 | −$3,729 | −$4,729 | −$4,051 |
| Oct 5 | −$3,761 | −$3,413 | −$4,170 | −$3,628 |
| Oct 6 | −$4,122 | −$3,823 | −$4,543 | −$4,011 |
| Oct 7 | −$3,000 | −$2,772 | −$3,976 | −$3,846 |
| Oct 8 | −$2,917 | −$2,680 | −$3,951 | −$3,882 |
| Oct 9 | −$2,917 | −$2,680 | −$3,951 | −$3,882 |
| Oct 10 | −$2,975 | −$2,680 | −$3,952 | −$3,882 |
| Oct 11 | −$2,955 | −$2,658 | −$3,933 | −$3,873 |
| Oct 12 | −$2,872 | −$2,606 | −$3,895 | −$3,868 |
| Oct 13 | −$3,030 | −$2,650 | −$4,150 | −$3,881 |
| Oct 14 | −$3,032 | −$2,640 | −$4,144 | −$3,881 |
| Oct 15 | −$3,154 | −$2,744 | −$4,283 | −$4,308 |
| Oct 16 | −$3,154 | −$2,744 | −$4,283 | −$4,308 |
| Oct 17 | −$3,154 | −$2,744 | −$4,283 | −$4,308 |
| Oct 18 | −$3,169 | −$2,761 | −$4,286 | −$4,376 |
| Oct 19 | −$3,169 | −$2,761 | −$4,286 | −$4,376 |
| Oct 20 | −$3,166 | −$2,770 | −$4,314 | −$4,375 |
| Oct 21 | −$3,171 | −$2,770 | −$4,313 | −$4,377 |
| Oct 22 | −$3,172 | −$2,827 | −$4,365 | −$4,393 |
| Oct 23 | −$3,172 | −$2,827 | −$4,365 | −$4,393 |
| Oct 24 | −$3,302 | −$3,040 | −$4,496 | −$4,410 |
| Oct 25 | −$3,267 | −$3,038 | −$4,478 | −$4,524 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$3,267 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 23% |
| 1 min | −$3,038 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 18% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$4,478 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 14% |
| 30 min | −$4,524 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 13% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$3,267
- Delay cost−$632.77
- Slippage−$97.23
- Fees (buys $480.57 · sells $0.00)−$480.57
- Follower PnL−$4,478
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1,737 | −$4,478 | −13.9% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x6db9…4ab5Leader lost money at this size
- 0xcc50…4c82Keeps −6% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf16f…9f16Keeps −5% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.