FollowCheck 中文

In backtest, only 3% of 0x1755…5aac's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay

Finance 0x17559efac103ac7f361be37ec0b93888d4c55aac Profile on Polymarket

Only 3% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 7% only partly; the −$1,161 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x1755…5aac's 4,026 buys across 708 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$1,161. The leader lost $22,367 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$21,646, slippage $221.25 and fees $219.06. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $2,514 at once across 413 positions.

Copy delay

Each time the trader buys, the simulation copies this much. Not a total budget.

Key numbers

Follower PnL
−$1,161
Incl. estimates −$22,288
Max drawdown −$1,824
ROI −6.0% on total cost
Returns kept
n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)
Leader, same size −$22,367
leader lost money
Peak capital in use
$2,514
Incl. estimates $20,033
4,026 copied buys · $19,358 total cost
Fill rate
3%
Most buys couldn't be fully copied
Incl. estimates 27%
126 filled · 287 partial · 3,613 no buyers
Backtest score
16/100
4,026 buys · 708 markets

The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 1,623 estimated: 493 high · 571 medium · 559 low · 2,175 thin How we estimate

Cumulative PnL across all copied positions

X axis
Max drawdown −$1.8k

Final values: 0 min: −$592.88; 1 min: −$329.14; 5 min: −$1,161; 30 min: +$2,228. Max drawdown −$1,824 (5 min, Sep 30). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.

Chart data by day
Day (UTC)0 min1 min5 min30 min
Sep 21−$320.64−$342.91−$293.08+$925.56
Sep 22−$1,058−$893.51−$703.75+$926.73
Sep 23−$1,481−$1,330−$1,145+$1,009
Sep 24−$1,486−$1,331−$1,127+$1,058
Sep 25−$1,425−$1,286−$1,250+$1,782
Sep 26−$1,425−$1,286−$1,250+$1,782
Sep 27−$1,425−$1,286−$1,250+$1,782
Sep 28−$1,553−$1,383−$1,257+$1,492
Sep 29−$1,650−$1,308−$1,160+$1,553
Sep 30−$939.95−$510.60−$1,119+$1,373
Oct 1−$894.58−$453.04−$891.65+$1,223
Oct 2−$931.50−$520.24−$1,048+$1,056
Oct 3−$931.50−$520.24−$1,048+$1,056
Oct 4−$931.50−$520.24−$1,048+$1,056
Oct 5−$930.15−$394.38−$1,028+$1,096
Oct 6−$913.58−$398.00−$1,029+$1,226
Oct 7−$980.21−$420.06−$1,001+$1,226
Oct 8−$1,079−$414.24−$1,026+$1,239
Oct 9−$1,046−$377.81−$1,030+$1,230
Oct 10−$1,046−$377.81−$1,030+$1,230
Oct 11−$1,046−$377.81−$1,030+$1,230
Oct 12−$387.02−$85.41−$860.55+$1,479
Oct 13−$559.47−$239.77−$938.12+$1,418
Oct 14−$559.47−$239.77−$938.12+$1,418
Oct 15−$189.70+$8.68−$560.77+$1,945
Oct 16+$130.85+$310.75−$229.46+$2,219
Oct 17+$130.85+$310.75−$229.46+$2,219
Oct 18+$130.85+$310.75−$229.46+$2,219
Oct 19−$1,248−$1,034−$1,564+$1,955
Oct 20−$1,165−$910.25−$1,416+$2,005
Oct 21−$603.88−$355.57−$1,185+$2,274
Oct 22−$616.19−$334.37−$1,166+$2,228
Oct 23−$592.88−$329.14−$1,161+$2,228

Every delay side by side

DelayFollower PnLKeptFilled
0 min−$592.88n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)4%
1 min−$329.14n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)4%
5 min (selected)−$1,161n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)3%
30 min+$2,228n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)3%

Where the returns go

  1. Leader PnL at your size−$22,367
  2. Delay helped+$21,646
  3. Slippage−$221.25
  4. Fees (buys $219.06 · sells $0.00)−$219.06
  5. Follower PnL−$1,161

Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.

By category

CategoryTradesFollower PnLROI
Finance4,026−$1,161−6.0%

Data version 12085 · computed Oct 26, 2026 · 132 unsettled positions marked at the last traded price.

Trades

Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.

How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.

Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate

Show
Order
Date Market Leader price Copy price Fill Fill basis Follower PnL Details
Trades load from the live API when this section is visible.
Page 1

More Finance traders

See the full Finance copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.

This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.