In backtest, only 2% of 0xedc8…3296's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:10 UTC.
Only 2% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 6% only partly; the +$686.89 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xedc8…3296's 1,581 buys across 462 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have made +$686.89 — more than the leader's +$436.57 at the same size, so the copier kept all of the leader's returns and more (157.3%). That happens when prices keep moving the leader's way after they buy and a later entry ends up cheaper: the delay helped by +$270.96, slippage helped by +$111.67 and fees $132.31. A small sample can flip this, so compare the other delays and the trades below. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $3,765 at once across 126 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 671 estimated: 250 high · 208 medium · 213 low · 853 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$2,104; 1 min: +$113.77; 5 min: +$686.89; 30 min: −$455.36. Max drawdown −$196.90 (5 min, Oct 14). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | +$9.06 | +$5.60 | +$22.82 | +$5.42 |
| Sep 22 | −$104.11 | −$89.81 | −$58.72 | +$7.27 |
| Sep 23 | −$122.81 | −$105.13 | −$82.77 | −$207.61 |
| Sep 24 | −$122.81 | −$105.13 | −$79.15 | −$203.81 |
| Sep 25 | −$116.65 | −$94.62 | −$61.44 | −$204.74 |
| Sep 26 | −$129.26 | −$101.31 | −$68.13 | −$205.93 |
| Sep 27 | −$135.02 | −$111.18 | −$74.86 | −$205.93 |
| Sep 28 | −$134.09 | −$110.25 | −$51.33 | −$193.35 |
| Sep 29 | −$111.81 | −$87.97 | −$24.70 | −$193.35 |
| Sep 30 | −$78.92 | −$54.85 | +$41.22 | −$265.65 |
| Oct 1 | −$120.44 | −$29.52 | +$69.19 | −$262.65 |
| Oct 2 | −$146.72 | −$34.15 | +$63.33 | −$262.99 |
| Oct 3 | −$169.34 | −$61.52 | +$21.81 | −$273.83 |
| Oct 4 | −$145.24 | −$49.08 | +$29.18 | −$282.52 |
| Oct 5 | −$35.92 | +$30.15 | +$56.44 | −$314.73 |
| Oct 6 | −$35.51 | +$28.24 | +$60.10 | −$311.65 |
| Oct 7 | −$97.19 | +$26.33 | +$59.29 | −$301.65 |
| Oct 8 | −$86.36 | +$28.84 | +$61.80 | −$301.65 |
| Oct 9 | −$85.28 | +$30.57 | +$67.40 | −$314.47 |
| Oct 10 | −$87.12 | +$30.57 | +$67.40 | −$314.47 |
| Oct 11 | −$182.51 | +$64.69 | +$74.71 | −$335.24 |
| Oct 12 | −$230.68 | −$7.53 | −$84.21 | −$361.04 |
| Oct 13 | −$252.24 | −$13.66 | −$91.65 | −$364.45 |
| Oct 14 | −$335.80 | −$39.98 | −$122.19 | −$412.74 |
| Oct 15 | −$320.70 | −$9.52 | −$113.00 | −$491.66 |
| Oct 16 | −$344.82 | −$16.37 | +$1.69 | −$492.30 |
| Oct 17 | −$321.57 | +$10.01 | +$29.07 | −$457.87 |
| Oct 18 | −$259.28 | +$61.51 | +$29.07 | −$456.58 |
| Oct 19 | −$272.68 | +$53.60 | +$27.83 | −$446.15 |
| Oct 20 | −$251.14 | +$97.31 | +$131.21 | −$434.65 |
| Oct 21 | −$253.20 | +$86.40 | +$131.36 | −$439.56 |
| Oct 22 | −$286.34 | +$59.79 | +$278.14 | −$443.65 |
| Oct 23 | −$288.19 | +$59.79 | +$277.66 | −$432.93 |
| Oct 24 | −$288.30 | +$59.48 | +$275.53 | −$435.83 |
| Oct 25 | +$2,114 | +$118.46 | +$693.59 | −$455.36 |
| Oct 26 | +$2,104 | +$113.77 | +$686.89 | −$455.36 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$2,104 | 100%+ (Exactly 481.9%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 3% |
| 1 min | +$113.77 | 26.1% | 2% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$686.89 | 100%+ (Exactly 157.3%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 2% |
| 30 min | −$455.36 | −103% | 1% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$436.57
- Delay helped+$270.96
- Slippage helped+$111.67
- Fees (buys $91.97 · sells $40.34)−$132.31
- Follower PnL+$686.89
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finance | 1,442 | +$239.45 | +6.7% |
| Politics | 72 | −$104.39 | −16.5% |
| Economy | 59 | +$156.22 | +23.8% |
| Tech | 4 | +$3.81 | +1.2% |
| Crypto | 2 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Sports | 2 | +$391.80 | +196% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Finance traders
- 0xf9e1…0458Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9994…08b0Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5a45…f628Keeps 60% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x8888…0b39Keeps 46% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9efd…b227Keeps 32% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xcdb1…276cKeeps 24% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Finance copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.