0x22e4…ef1c lost money; a simulated copy at a 5-minute delay lost $15,964
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:34 UTC.
A copier who mirrored 0x22e4…ef1c's 368 buys across 39 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$15,964. The leader lost $12,907 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $2,861, slippage $2.75 and fees $193.07. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $20,011 at once across 248 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 115 estimated: 17 high · 87 medium · 11 low · 31 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$14,748; 1 min: −$15,314; 5 min: −$15,964; 30 min: −$12,773. Max drawdown −$16,814 (5 min, Oct 25). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | +$364.92 | +$696.25 | +$159.63 | +$328.24 |
| Sep 25 | +$1,931 | +$1,246 | +$587.15 | +$942.77 |
| Sep 26 | +$1,931 | +$1,246 | +$587.15 | +$942.77 |
| Sep 27 | +$1,931 | +$1,246 | +$587.15 | +$942.77 |
| Sep 28 | +$1,929 | +$1,246 | +$587.15 | +$942.77 |
| Sep 29 | +$1,907 | +$1,232 | +$573.52 | +$942.77 |
| Sep 30 | +$1,907 | +$1,232 | +$573.52 | +$942.77 |
| Oct 1 | +$1,907 | +$1,232 | +$573.52 | +$942.77 |
| Oct 2 | +$1,907 | +$1,232 | +$573.52 | +$942.77 |
| Oct 3 | +$1,907 | +$1,232 | +$573.52 | +$942.77 |
| Oct 4 | −$9,513 | −$10,180 | −$10,690 | −$9,023 |
| Oct 5 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,632 |
| Oct 6 | −$9,820 | −$10,460 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 7 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 8 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 9 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 10 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 11 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 12 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 13 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 14 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 15 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 16 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 17 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 18 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 19 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 20 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 21 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 22 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 23 | −$9,820 | −$10,459 | −$11,133 | −$9,634 |
| Oct 24 | −$11,864 | −$12,483 | −$13,124 | −$10,604 |
| Oct 25 | −$14,748 | −$15,314 | −$15,964 | −$12,773 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$14,748 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 71% |
| 1 min | −$15,314 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 63% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$15,964 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 60% |
| 30 min | −$12,773 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 52% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$12,907
- Delay cost−$2,861
- Slippage−$2.75
- Fees (buys $190.27 · sells $2.80)−$193.07
- Follower PnL−$15,964
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 363 | −$15,950 | −69.7% |
| Finance | 5 | −$13.63 | −68.2% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Politics traders
- 0x55b4…80eaBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x24c8…23e1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x614d…1546Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x2a01…6397Keeps 16% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xc658…b784Leader lost money at this size
- 0x2e0b…8070Keeps 17% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Politics copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.