In backtest, only 49% of 0x67ca…93b6's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:22 UTC.
Only 49% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 14% only partly; the −$1,359 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x67ca…93b6's 1,241 buys across 131 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$1,359, while the leader made +$258.45 at the same size. At a 5-minute delay a follower can't keep up: delay cost $1,281, slippage helped by +$28.18 and fees $364.91 outweigh whatever edge the leader had. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $3,937 at once across 789 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 608 estimated: 187 high · 350 medium · 71 low · 20 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$1,221; 1 min: −$1,350; 5 min: −$1,359; 30 min: −$1,971. Max drawdown −$1,992 (5 min, Oct 25). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$138.24 | −$178.42 | −$194.93 | +$80.32 |
| Sep 22 | +$534.62 | +$465.52 | +$574.33 | +$499.41 |
| Sep 23 | +$160.65 | +$34.99 | +$382.60 | +$391.25 |
| Sep 24 | +$167.75 | +$43.28 | +$394.14 | +$400.47 |
| Sep 25 | +$329.62 | +$185.04 | +$471.25 | +$415.22 |
| Sep 26 | +$374.99 | +$229.19 | +$516.21 | +$423.61 |
| Sep 27 | +$371.07 | +$225.74 | +$510.25 | +$435.36 |
| Sep 28 | +$401.87 | +$260.94 | +$540.30 | +$392.67 |
| Sep 29 | +$469.52 | +$322.32 | +$583.80 | +$436.88 |
| Sep 30 | +$564.68 | +$391.95 | +$610.98 | +$505.17 |
| Oct 1 | +$479.34 | +$362.63 | +$548.43 | +$533.81 |
| Oct 2 | −$533.31 | −$620.62 | −$620.15 | −$798.93 |
| Oct 3 | −$462.22 | −$554.95 | −$552.40 | −$752.23 |
| Oct 4 | −$430.67 | −$523.35 | −$543.61 | −$717.63 |
| Oct 5 | −$590.01 | −$679.85 | −$696.79 | −$868.29 |
| Oct 6 | −$803.40 | −$923.37 | −$1,002 | −$1,505 |
| Oct 7 | −$796.76 | −$913.07 | −$1,015 | −$1,608 |
| Oct 8 | −$781.41 | −$897.82 | −$997.55 | −$1,601 |
| Oct 9 | −$719.00 | −$839.33 | −$944.21 | −$1,563 |
| Oct 10 | −$705.41 | −$827.10 | −$933.73 | −$1,555 |
| Oct 11 | −$697.44 | −$817.27 | −$921.85 | −$1,541 |
| Oct 12 | −$752.94 | −$862.87 | −$959.10 | −$1,526 |
| Oct 13 | −$767.48 | −$877.69 | −$966.05 | −$1,517 |
| Oct 14 | −$770.22 | −$866.68 | −$958.58 | −$1,516 |
| Oct 15 | −$764.11 | −$860.88 | −$953.37 | −$1,516 |
| Oct 16 | −$728.34 | −$828.07 | −$927.46 | −$1,491 |
| Oct 17 | −$722.78 | −$823.94 | −$923.13 | −$1,489 |
| Oct 18 | −$719.42 | −$820.82 | −$922.69 | −$1,484 |
| Oct 19 | −$766.85 | −$816.61 | −$1,064 | −$1,811 |
| Oct 20 | −$851.78 | −$943.48 | −$1,053 | −$1,747 |
| Oct 21 | −$991.81 | −$1,088 | −$1,182 | −$1,718 |
| Oct 22 | −$1,069 | −$1,160 | −$1,237 | −$1,709 |
| Oct 23 | −$1,165 | −$1,267 | −$1,333 | −$1,788 |
| Oct 24 | −$1,200 | −$1,335 | −$1,350 | −$2,001 |
| Oct 25 | −$1,221 | −$1,350 | −$1,359 | −$1,971 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$1,221 | −472% | 52% |
| 1 min | −$1,350 | −522% | 51% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$1,359 | −526% | 49% |
| 30 min | −$1,971 | −732% | 39% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$258.45
- Delay cost−$1,281
- Slippage helped+$28.18
- Fees (buys $235.44 · sells $129.47)−$364.91
- Follower PnL−$1,359
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1,241 | −$1,359 | −2.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Crypto traders
- 0x08e4…e173Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x7789…a280Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe392…c023Keeps 92% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x8320…904eKeeps −63% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x84d3…b286Keeps 13% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x2322…3edeKeeps 13% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Crypto copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.