0x88f3…e7fb lost money; a simulated copy at a 5-minute delay lost $1,658
Provisional
A copier who mirrored 0x88f3…e7fb's 55 buys across 13 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$1,658. The leader lost $1,748 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$140.31, slippage $0.95 and fees $49.94. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $2,079 at once across 40 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 20 estimated: 2 high · 17 medium · 1 low · 2 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$1,951; 1 min: −$2,150; 5 min: −$1,658; 30 min: −$1,526. Max drawdown −$1,746 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 23 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 24 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 25 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 26 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 27 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 28 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 29 | −$1.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
| Sep 30 | +$41.43 | +$42.75 | +$4.86 | −$0.08 |
| Oct 1 | +$41.43 | +$42.75 | +$4.86 | −$0.08 |
| Oct 2 | +$41.43 | +$42.75 | +$4.86 | −$0.08 |
| Oct 3 | +$41.43 | +$42.75 | +$4.86 | −$0.08 |
| Oct 4 | +$41.43 | +$42.75 | +$4.86 | −$0.08 |
| Oct 5 | −$751.92 | −$872.75 | −$641.82 | −$623.17 |
| Oct 6 | −$832.37 | −$959.82 | −$710.01 | −$715.06 |
| Oct 7 | −$832.37 | −$959.82 | −$710.01 | −$715.06 |
| Oct 8 | −$832.37 | −$959.82 | −$710.01 | −$715.06 |
| Oct 9 | −$1,529 | −$1,711 | −$1,210 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 10 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 11 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 12 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 13 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 14 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 15 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 16 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 17 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 18 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 19 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 20 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 21 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 22 | −$1,610 | −$1,797 | −$1,280 | −$1,333 |
| Oct 23 | −$1,604 | −$1,791 | −$1,278 | −$1,325 |
| Oct 24 | −$2,073 | −$2,262 | −$1,741 | −$1,549 |
| Oct 25 | −$1,950 | −$2,149 | −$1,656 | −$1,524 |
| Oct 26 | −$1,951 | −$2,150 | −$1,658 | −$1,526 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$1,951 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 69% |
| 1 min | −$2,150 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 67% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$1,658 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 60% |
| 30 min | −$1,526 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 49% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$1,748
- Delay helped+$140.31
- Slippage−$0.95
- Fees (buys $32.24 · sells $17.70)−$49.94
- Follower PnL−$1,658
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 44 | −$1,202 | −41.9% |
| Sports | 7 | −$461.03 | −77.9% |
| Economy | 4 | +$4.86 | +21.4% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Politics traders
- 0x55b4…80eaBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x24c8…23e1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x614d…1546Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9351…9e4dKeeps 17% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x54b5…4b31Keeps 6% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xa24d…7857Keeps 15% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Politics copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.