In backtest, only 29% of 0x9c9f…e2d2's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:39 UTC.
Only 29% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 5% only partly; the −$171.83 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x9c9f…e2d2's 66 buys across 27 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$171.83. The leader lost $567.97 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$437.45, slippage helped by +$2.55 and fees $43.86. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $1,339 at once across 22 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 37 estimated: 7 high · 21 medium · 9 low · 10 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$177.11; 1 min: +$107.15; 5 min: −$171.83; 30 min: +$299.07. Max drawdown −$378.15 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 22 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 23 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 24 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 25 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 26 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 27 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 28 | −$90.20 | −$90.20 | $0.00 | −$7.84 |
| Sep 29 | −$124.31 | −$118.83 | −$30.98 | −$24.43 |
| Sep 30 | +$14.95 | +$180.94 | +$178.22 | +$417.51 |
| Oct 1 | +$21.04 | +$192.84 | +$182.47 | +$417.51 |
| Oct 2 | −$34.94 | +$192.69 | +$182.47 | +$415.92 |
| Oct 3 | −$41.42 | +$192.48 | +$182.11 | +$416.07 |
| Oct 4 | −$41.42 | +$192.48 | +$182.11 | +$416.07 |
| Oct 5 | −$41.42 | +$192.48 | +$182.11 | +$416.07 |
| Oct 6 | −$41.42 | +$192.48 | +$182.11 | +$416.07 |
| Oct 7 | −$41.42 | +$192.48 | +$182.11 | +$416.07 |
| Oct 8 | −$41.29 | +$210.60 | +$175.24 | +$564.38 |
| Oct 9 | −$35.65 | +$216.47 | +$181.01 | +$575.06 |
| Oct 10 | −$35.65 | +$216.47 | +$181.01 | +$575.06 |
| Oct 11 | −$35.65 | +$216.47 | +$181.01 | +$575.06 |
| Oct 12 | −$11.47 | +$240.61 | +$206.32 | +$601.27 |
| Oct 13 | −$11.47 | +$240.61 | +$206.32 | +$601.27 |
| Oct 14 | −$11.47 | +$240.61 | +$206.32 | +$601.27 |
| Oct 15 | −$11.47 | +$240.61 | +$206.32 | +$601.27 |
| Oct 16 | −$11.60 | +$240.53 | +$206.32 | +$600.60 |
| Oct 17 | −$11.60 | +$240.53 | +$206.32 | +$600.60 |
| Oct 18 | −$11.60 | +$240.53 | +$206.32 | +$600.60 |
| Oct 19 | −$144.98 | +$114.93 | −$170.16 | +$271.66 |
| Oct 20 | −$144.98 | +$114.93 | −$170.16 | +$271.66 |
| Oct 21 | −$144.98 | +$114.93 | −$170.16 | +$271.66 |
| Oct 22 | −$146.23 | +$111.06 | −$171.33 | +$270.49 |
| Oct 23 | −$146.23 | +$111.06 | −$171.33 | +$270.49 |
| Oct 24 | −$166.05 | +$118.21 | −$171.83 | +$299.07 |
| Oct 25 | −$177.11 | +$107.15 | −$171.83 | +$299.07 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$177.11 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 30% |
| 1 min | +$107.15 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 27% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$171.83 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 29% |
| 30 min | +$299.07 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 35% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$567.97
- Delay helped+$437.45
- Slippage helped+$2.55
- Fees (buys $33.76 · sells $10.10)−$43.86
- Follower PnL−$171.83
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 52 | −$170.97 | −9.8% |
| Economy | 6 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Finance | 6 | −$0.36 | −0.4% |
| Sports | 2 | −$0.50 | −0.5% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Politics traders
- 0x55b4…80eaBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x24c8…23e1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x614d…1546Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xd950…ad1bKeeps −1137% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x000d…758eLeader lost money at this size
- 0x014c…820cKeeps 4% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Politics copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.