In backtest, only 42% of 0xc6dd…4b9f's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:35 UTC.
Only 42% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 9% only partly; the −$8,177 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xc6dd…4b9f's 596 buys across 20 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$8,177. The leader lost $9,479 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$1,747, slippage $57.21 and fees $387.59. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $16,550 at once across 306 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 307 estimated: 215 high · 68 medium · 24 low · 39 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$8,367; 1 min: −$7,933; 5 min: −$8,177; 30 min: −$8,931. Max drawdown −$9,907 (5 min, Oct 25). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | −$144.03 | −$85.55 | −$72.36 | −$32.93 |
| Oct 2 | −$203.17 | −$138.49 | −$69.67 | −$35.63 |
| Oct 3 | −$199.75 | −$137.96 | −$67.34 | −$34.15 |
| Oct 4 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,151 | −$3,264 |
| Oct 5 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,151 | −$3,264 |
| Oct 6 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,152 | −$3,266 |
| Oct 7 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,152 | −$3,266 |
| Oct 8 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,152 | −$3,266 |
| Oct 9 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,152 | −$3,266 |
| Oct 10 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,152 | −$3,266 |
| Oct 11 | −$4,362 | −$4,039 | −$4,152 | −$3,266 |
| Oct 12 | −$4,364 | −$4,042 | −$4,155 | −$3,268 |
| Oct 13 | −$4,364 | −$4,042 | −$4,155 | −$3,268 |
| Oct 14 | −$4,364 | −$4,042 | −$4,155 | −$3,268 |
| Oct 15 | −$4,364 | −$4,042 | −$4,155 | −$3,268 |
| Oct 16 | −$4,363 | −$4,041 | −$4,153 | −$3,268 |
| Oct 17 | −$4,487 | −$4,161 | −$4,211 | −$3,331 |
| Oct 18 | −$4,672 | −$4,345 | −$4,411 | −$3,531 |
| Oct 19 | −$4,758 | −$4,433 | −$4,445 | −$3,657 |
| Oct 20 | −$4,765 | −$4,436 | −$4,448 | −$3,661 |
| Oct 21 | −$5,157 | −$4,835 | −$4,755 | −$3,785 |
| Oct 22 | −$5,548 | −$5,113 | −$5,039 | −$4,513 |
| Oct 23 | −$5,858 | −$5,418 | −$5,344 | −$5,220 |
| Oct 24 | −$6,894 | −$6,444 | −$6,505 | −$6,200 |
| Oct 25 | −$8,367 | −$7,933 | −$8,177 | −$8,931 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$8,367 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 44% |
| 1 min | −$7,933 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 43% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$8,177 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 42% |
| 30 min | −$8,931 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 41% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$9,479
- Delay helped+$1,747
- Slippage−$57.21
- Fees (buys $276.77 · sells $110.82)−$387.59
- Follower PnL−$8,177
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 467 | −$8,175 | −32.2% |
| Finance | 69 | −$0.96 | −0.2% |
| Tech | 60 | −$1.03 | −0.2% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Politics traders
- 0x55b4…80eaBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x24c8…23e1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x614d…1546Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x2d99…4ca3Keeps −578% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x836f…906eKeeps 14% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xdef6…f69aKeeps −280% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Politics copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.