In backtest, only 5% of 0xc97b…47e5's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:17 UTC.
Only 5% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 5% only partly; the −$173.77 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xc97b…47e5's 1,629 buys across 198 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$173.77, while the leader made +$552.31 at the same size. At a 5-minute delay a follower can't keep up: delay cost $692.44, slippage helped by +$0.23 and fees $33.87 outweigh whatever edge the leader had. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $6,340 at once across 149 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 1,314 estimated: 289 high · 762 medium · 263 low · 240 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$437.60; 1 min: −$447.10; 5 min: −$173.77; 30 min: −$256.04. Max drawdown −$231.69 (5 min, Oct 22). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +$4.30 | +$6.57 |
| Sep 22 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +$4.30 | +$6.57 |
| Sep 23 | +$0.38 | +$0.38 | +$4.87 | +$6.57 |
| Sep 24 | +$15.04 | +$12.79 | +$31.15 | +$11.45 |
| Sep 25 | +$18.84 | +$16.07 | +$34.22 | +$11.45 |
| Sep 26 | +$18.84 | +$16.07 | +$34.22 | +$11.45 |
| Sep 27 | +$21.93 | +$19.17 | +$34.43 | +$13.33 |
| Sep 28 | +$24.04 | +$21.27 | +$34.46 | +$15.34 |
| Sep 29 | −$461.17 | −$451.80 | −$89.35 | −$62.06 |
| Sep 30 | −$458.68 | −$449.32 | −$95.01 | −$259.48 |
| Oct 1 | −$460.77 | −$447.79 | −$90.94 | −$236.96 |
| Oct 2 | −$441.35 | −$431.56 | −$75.98 | −$218.21 |
| Oct 3 | −$481.85 | −$476.92 | −$120.75 | −$273.69 |
| Oct 4 | −$481.85 | −$476.92 | −$120.75 | −$273.69 |
| Oct 5 | −$413.77 | −$402.08 | −$42.99 | −$262.84 |
| Oct 6 | −$415.32 | −$401.42 | −$42.29 | −$262.30 |
| Oct 7 | −$494.76 | −$483.77 | −$181.85 | −$261.06 |
| Oct 8 | −$496.59 | −$483.36 | −$181.62 | −$261.53 |
| Oct 9 | −$498.12 | −$484.56 | −$180.88 | −$261.34 |
| Oct 10 | −$497.38 | −$484.56 | −$180.88 | −$261.33 |
| Oct 11 | −$497.38 | −$484.56 | −$180.88 | −$261.07 |
| Oct 12 | −$497.79 | −$483.33 | −$179.66 | −$259.74 |
| Oct 13 | −$491.74 | −$484.04 | −$176.47 | −$259.26 |
| Oct 14 | −$489.15 | −$481.15 | −$173.61 | −$263.01 |
| Oct 15 | −$493.79 | −$482.60 | −$179.50 | −$263.21 |
| Oct 16 | −$493.59 | −$482.70 | −$180.07 | −$264.61 |
| Oct 17 | −$476.71 | −$465.82 | −$180.07 | −$264.61 |
| Oct 18 | −$476.71 | −$465.82 | −$180.07 | −$264.61 |
| Oct 19 | −$476.50 | −$465.23 | −$179.38 | −$263.58 |
| Oct 20 | −$474.40 | −$466.48 | −$179.91 | −$260.00 |
| Oct 21 | −$468.22 | −$475.93 | −$195.65 | −$262.39 |
| Oct 22 | −$467.77 | −$475.69 | −$197.00 | −$260.05 |
| Oct 23 | −$438.00 | −$446.88 | −$173.77 | −$255.93 |
| Oct 24 | −$437.94 | −$446.88 | −$173.77 | −$255.93 |
| Oct 25 | −$437.38 | −$446.88 | −$173.77 | −$256.04 |
| Oct 26 | −$437.60 | −$447.10 | −$173.77 | −$256.04 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$437.60 | −79.2% | 7% |
| 1 min | −$447.10 | −81.0% | 6% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$173.77 | −31.5% | 5% |
| 30 min | −$256.04 | −46.3% | 4% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$552.31
- Delay cost−$692.44
- Slippage helped+$0.23
- Fees (buys $29.66 · sells $4.21)−$33.87
- Follower PnL−$173.77
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finance | 896 | −$65.07 | −5.7% |
| Politics | 442 | −$176.02 | −2.8% |
| Crypto | 278 | +$67.31 | +2.9% |
| Economy | 8 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Geopolitics | 5 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Finance traders
- 0xf9e1…0458Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9994…08b0Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xedc8…3296Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xd01f…ce7aLeader lost money at this size
- 0x2e3e…abeaKeeps 0% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x969f…4d55Leader lost money at this size
See the full Finance copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.