In backtest, only 11% of 0x50c8…caa2's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 11% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 25% only partly; the +$10,990 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x50c8…caa2's 1,079 buys across 12 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at +$10,990. The leader lost $2,787 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep; the copier only came out ahead because later prices happened to be better: the delay helped by +$18,413, slippage $4,326 and fees $310.36. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $7,467 at once across 388 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 487 estimated: 0 high · 247 medium · 240 low · 382 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$6,054; 1 min: +$5,359; 5 min: +$10,990; 30 min: +$13,332. Max drawdown −$1,538 (5 min, Sep 29). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | +$33.40 | +$7.25 | +$7.14 | +$27.93 |
| Sep 22 | +$5,246 | +$5,004 | +$11,302 | +$13,241 |
| Sep 23 | +$6,351 | +$6,165 | +$11,323 | +$13,216 |
| Sep 24 | +$7,125 | +$6,454 | +$12,328 | +$13,857 |
| Sep 25 | +$6,774 | +$5,990 | +$11,780 | +$13,712 |
| Sep 26 | +$6,774 | +$5,990 | +$11,780 | +$13,712 |
| Sep 27 | +$6,774 | +$5,990 | +$11,780 | +$13,712 |
| Sep 28 | +$6,541 | +$5,816 | +$11,715 | +$13,741 |
| Sep 29 | +$6,054 | +$5,359 | +$10,990 | +$13,332 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$6,054 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 13% |
| 1 min | +$5,359 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 11% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$10,990 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 11% |
| 30 min | +$13,332 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 14% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$2,787
- Delay helped+$18,413
- Slippage−$4,326
- Fees (buys $310.36 · sells $0.00)−$310.36
- Follower PnL+$10,990
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finance | 1,079 | +$10,990 | +58.5% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Finance traders
- 0xf9e1…0458Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9994…08b0Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xedc8…3296Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xcbd0…dec4Leader lost money at this size
- 0x06ac…79ecLeader lost money at this size
- 0x74b4…6beaLeader lost money at this size
See the full Finance copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.