In backtest, only 29% of 0x6085…4219's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional16 buys are too recent to evaluate at this delay: the market data after them isn't indexed yet, so they're left out of these numbers. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:41 UTC.
Only 29% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 9% only partly; the −$5,597 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x6085…4219's 846 buys across 110 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$5,597. The leader lost $398.46 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $4,637, slippage $81.98 and fees $478.89. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $8,793 at once across 316 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 512 estimated: 211 high · 286 medium · 15 low · 73 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$5,600; 1 min: −$5,105; 5 min: −$5,597; 30 min: −$5,795. Max drawdown −$6,061 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | −$106.41 | −$107.56 | −$133.76 | −$102.60 |
| Sep 29 | −$861.55 | −$866.21 | −$913.55 | −$894.13 |
| Sep 30 | −$836.70 | −$841.25 | −$889.06 | −$894.13 |
| Oct 1 | −$783.44 | −$783.13 | −$816.55 | −$861.55 |
| Oct 2 | −$609.27 | −$604.44 | −$649.57 | −$690.74 |
| Oct 3 | −$607.90 | −$604.39 | −$649.37 | −$690.63 |
| Oct 4 | −$2,658 | −$2,856 | −$2,706 | −$2,765 |
| Oct 5 | −$2,805 | −$2,856 | −$2,914 | −$2,973 |
| Oct 6 | −$2,333 | −$2,515 | −$2,912 | −$3,183 |
| Oct 7 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 8 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 9 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 10 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 11 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 12 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 13 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 14 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 15 | −$2,257 | −$2,383 | −$3,317 | −$3,203 |
| Oct 16 | −$3,407 | −$3,528 | −$4,012 | −$3,115 |
| Oct 17 | −$3,549 | −$3,552 | −$4,125 | −$3,124 |
| Oct 18 | −$4,909 | −$4,278 | −$4,839 | −$5,483 |
| Oct 19 | −$5,514 | −$5,088 | −$5,527 | −$5,611 |
| Oct 20 | −$5,775 | −$5,263 | −$5,790 | −$5,853 |
| Oct 21 | −$5,847 | −$5,353 | −$5,861 | −$5,863 |
| Oct 22 | −$5,855 | −$5,340 | −$5,835 | −$5,975 |
| Oct 23 | −$6,033 | −$5,529 | −$6,013 | −$6,163 |
| Oct 24 | −$6,057 | −$5,567 | −$6,061 | −$6,251 |
| Oct 25 | −$5,601 | −$5,105 | −$5,597 | −$5,795 |
| Oct 26 | −$5,600 | −$5,105 | −$5,597 | −$5,795 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$5,600 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 30% |
| 1 min | −$5,105 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 29% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$5,597 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 29% |
| 30 min | −$5,795 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 24% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$398.46
- Delay cost−$4,637
- Slippage−$81.98
- Fees (buys $420.21 · sells $58.68)−$478.89
- Follower PnL−$5,597
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 332 | −$1,967 | −19.5% |
| Crypto | 200 | +$62.26 | +8.9% |
| Politics | 182 | −$3,967 | −36.9% |
| Tech | 64 | +$147.48 | +8.7% |
| Geopolitics | 44 | +$62.40 | +2.8% |
| Finance | 5 | +$10.13 | +5.1% |
| Weather | 2 | +$55.44 | +55.4% |
| Economy | 1 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x6ffb…a834Leader lost money at this size
- 0xa309…4cf2Leader lost money at this size
- 0xcbc5…e175Leader lost money at this size
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.