Polymarket Sports Traders Ranked by Simulated Copy Returns After a 5-Minute Delay
Ranked by what a follower keeps — not by what the trader made. Each trader's buys are replayed with a copy delay at the prices actually available, minus slippage and fees. The backtest score (0–100) weighs returns kept, fill rate and sample size.
Copy delay
Out-of-sample window
1 of the PnL top 20 Sports traders lose money for a copier at a 5-minute delay.
| # | Trader | Score | Returns kept | Follower ROI | Out-of-sample ROI (7d) | Leader PnL | Buys |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xf19b…1613 | 99 | 100%+ (Exactly 121.0%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +10.2% | −32.3% | +$1,651 | 205 |
| 2 | 0xf54e…1297 | 95 | 100%+ (Exactly 3541.1%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +1.1% | −16.6% | +$3.94 | 145 |
| 3 | 0xf28e…cab2 | 95 | 100%+ (Exactly 270.3%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +18.9% | +28.7% | +$2,721 | 480 |
| 4 | 0x5dee…30b1 | 94 | 100%+ (Exactly 580.3%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +15.9% | −16.1% | +$282.42 | 125 |
| 5 | 0x31e5…4879 | 93 | 100%+ (Exactly 210.4%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +37.8% | −95.8% | +$2,700 | 206 |
| 6 | 0xc4ad…9948 | 90 | 100%+ (Exactly 659.5%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +9.1% | +7.8% | +$3,423 | 3,925 |
| 7 | 0x47c8…86bc | 90 | 100%+ (Exactly 139.1%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +18.2% | −2.0% | +$4,145 | 518 |
| 8 | 0xa2f4…6d95 | 89 | 100%+ (Exactly 67422.9%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +12.5% | −39.9% | +$1.57 | 121 |
| 9 | 0x996b…abf7 | 89 | 100%+ (Exactly 172.8%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +2.4% | −4.9% | +$181.51 | 216 |
| 10 | 0xcdcc…935a | 89 | 87.6% | +25.1% | −102% | +$2,924 | 107 |
| 11 | 0x615b…9591 | 88 | 100%+ (Exactly 1097.2%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +4.0% | −93.7% | +$45.34 | 209 |
| 12 | 0x5bfe…3258 | 88 | 100%+ (Exactly 172.7%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +2.0% | −4.0% | +$2,233 | 3,454 |
| 13 | 0xd20f…2f35 | 88 | 100%+ (Exactly 150.7%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +31.5% | n/a | +$3,423 | 302 |
| 14 | 0xed57…e0a0 | 86 | 100%+ (Exactly 906.2%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +11.6% | n/a | +$562.74 | 919 |
| 15 | 0x6202…c297 | 86 | 100%+ (Exactly 104.5%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +2.9% | +1.9% | +$767.23 | 570 |
| 16 | 0x506a…bd4e | 85 | 100%+ (Exactly 316.1%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +77.6% | −103% | +$2,755 | 269 |
| 17 | 0x9243…658e | 83 | 100%+ (Exactly 243.1%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +15.2% | −33.2% | +$1,242 | 569 |
| 18 | 0x1691…304f | 80 | 100%+ (Exactly 597.7%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +7.1% | −23.2% | +$180.37 | 692 |
| 19 | 0x3e69…074b | 79 | 68.2% | +9.7% | +9.6% | +$2,489 | 187 |
| 20 | 0x677d…4907 | 77 | 86.4% | +14.4% | −20.6% | +$949.86 | 95 |
| 21 | 0x02b4…7092 | 76 | 92.5% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +$411.46 | 1,400 |
| 22 | 0x996a…e3cc | 75 | 93.1% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +$662.87 | 1,255 |
| 23 | 0xbeb1…4687 | 75 | 91.6% | +44.4% | n/a | +$47.9k | 4,868 |
| 24 | 0x4f30…1e29 | 74 | 100%+ (Exactly 235.2%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +0.3% | 0.0% | +$0.71 | 67 |
| 25 | 0x8935…1422 | 74 | 100%+ (Exactly 203.7%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | +0.3% | 0.0% | +$0.82 | 59 |
| 26 | 0xc6be…a0f3 | 61 | 48.9% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +$1,735 | 1,264 |
| 27 | 0xd84d…cc32 | 54 | 49.8% | +14.5% | −2.6% | +$3,325 | 279 |
| 28 | 0xe734…4f0c | 45 | 48.1% | +10.8% | +13.9% | +$2,628 | 2,560 |
| 29 | 0xe787…5034 | 45 | 23.0% | +2.5% | −33.2% | +$13.6k | 1,919 |
| 30 | 0x1ede…46e8 | 34 | 30.1% | +1.0% | +5.3% | +$148.83 | 1,671 |
| 31 | 0x4755…4158 | 34 | 26.7% | +1.7% | −1.8% | +$156.47 | 104 |
| 32 | 0xccd8…f4de | 34 | 24.3% | +3.2% | −10.3% | +$8,968 | 3,327 |
| 33 | 0x2294…4cd3 | 34 | 21.9% | +2.1% | +70.7% | +$2,560 | 943 |
| 34 | 0x40ee…949b | 31 | 29.4% | +0.3% | n/a | +$5.55 | 69 |
| 35 | 0x7418…251f | 31 | −32.0% | −2.1% | −1.5% | +$1,326 | 312 |
| 36 | 0x6fa7…907e | 27 | 18.1% | +17.4% | +23.7% | +$6,831 | 892 |
| 37 | 0x6211…b89e | 27 | −76.6% | −6.7% | n/a | +$334.98 | 54 |
| 38 | 0x9aeb…2729 | 26 | −23831% | −14.9% | −24.3% | +$22.95 | 759 |
| 39 | 0xde7b…5f4b | 25 | −130% | −7.6% | −21.0% | +$2,082 | 841 |
| 40 | 0xeebe…72f2 | 25 | −239% | −9.4% | −103% | +$202.05 | 92 |
| 41 | 0xcb89…a2e8 | 25 | −297% | −2.4% | −0.7% | +$127.46 | 400 |
| 42 | 0x93cc…6ffc | 23 | 12.1% | +1.7% | 0.0% | +$146.47 | 53 |
| 43 | 0x9a3f…914a | 22 | −10.5% | −1.4% | +8.6% | +$9,836 | 2,489 |
| 44 | 0x6085…4219 | 21 | −508% | −27.8% | −9.5% | +$941.58 | 627 |
| 45 | 0x6ffb…a834 | 21 | −694% | −17.5% | −29.9% | +$195.83 | 289 |
| 46 | 0x21d0…ce91 | 19 | 5.8% | +3.1% | +7.6% | +$2,194 | 1,509 |
| 47 | 0xd487…053e | 19 | −846% | −4.5% | −2.2% | +$378.17 | 4,106 |
| 48 | 0xfa12…9ff3 | 18 | −96.1% | −8.2% | −33.8% | +$434.13 | 338 |
| 49 | 0xe53c…e569 | 17 | 2.8% | +0.9% | +16.8% | +$2,200 | 2,447 |
| 50 | 0x33ab…9523 | 16 | 1.7% | +0.1% | +7.0% | +$84.38 | 1,336 |
How to read this board
- Returns kept: follower PnL divided by the trader's PnL at the same per-trade size. Above 100% the copier did better than the trader; “n/a” means the trader lost money, so there was nothing to keep.
- Out-of-sample ROI: the simulated follower ROI in the 7 days after the ranking period — a check on whether a ranking held up afterwards. Why this matters.
- Leader PnL is shown for context only; it does not affect the rank.
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- MethodologyHow the backtest score works
Past results don't predict future results. This board is a ranking of simulated copy-trading outcomes, not a recommendation to follow anyone. Traders are identified only by address and public Polymarket name.