In backtest, only 5% of 0x9efc…cce5's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 5% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 16% only partly; the +$85.12 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x9efc…cce5's 64 buys across 64 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at +$85.12. The leader lost $1,450 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep; the copier only came out ahead because later prices happened to be better: the delay helped by +$1,545, slippage $0.00 and fees $10.14. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $114.06 at once across 13 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 61 estimated: 30 high · 31 medium · 0 low How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$449.72; 1 min: −$111.14; 5 min: +$85.12; 30 min: +$61.57. Max drawdown −$150.79 (5 min, Oct 18). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | −$106.14 | −$6.33 | −$3.14 | $0.00 |
| Oct 9 | −$181.90 | +$51.33 | +$130.22 | $0.00 |
| Oct 10 | −$176.57 | +$54.00 | +$132.89 | −$13.40 |
| Oct 11 | −$9.31 | +$56.29 | +$235.91 | +$82.09 |
| Oct 12 | −$9.31 | +$56.29 | +$235.91 | +$82.09 |
| Oct 13 | −$448.32 | −$66.74 | +$132.23 | +$82.09 |
| Oct 14 | −$448.32 | −$66.74 | +$132.23 | +$82.09 |
| Oct 15 | −$448.32 | −$66.74 | +$132.23 | +$82.09 |
| Oct 16 | −$453.43 | −$71.84 | +$132.23 | +$54.84 |
| Oct 17 | −$440.40 | −$110.07 | +$86.19 | +$60.62 |
| Oct 18 | −$449.72 | −$111.14 | +$85.12 | +$61.57 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$449.72 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 22% |
| 1 min | −$111.14 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 2% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$85.12 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 5% |
| 30 min | +$61.57 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 2% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$1,450
- Delay helped+$1,545
- Slippage$0.00
- Fees (buys $10.14 · sells $0.00)−$10.14
- Follower PnL+$85.12
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 64 | +$85.12 | +21.8% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xefb4…9653Leader lost money at this size
- 0x4e8e…cbf8Leader lost money at this size
- 0x9ee4…697bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.