In backtest, only 19% of 0xcc32…92d2's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 19% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 7% only partly; the −$427.58 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xcc32…92d2's 1,464 buys across 121 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$427.58. The leader lost $807.44 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$550.34, slippage helped by +$35.39 and fees $205.87. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $3,539 at once across 387 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 993 estimated: 539 high · 383 medium · 71 low · 182 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$2,127; 1 min: −$628.63; 5 min: −$427.58; 30 min: −$1,935. Max drawdown −$1,247 (5 min, Oct 18). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +$14.83 |
| Sep 25 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | +$14.83 |
| Sep 26 | +$38.98 | +$87.43 | +$215.31 | +$537.16 |
| Sep 27 | +$319.84 | +$361.35 | +$757.04 | +$1,016 |
| Sep 28 | −$162.14 | −$109.00 | +$275.92 | +$1,096 |
| Sep 29 | −$252.59 | −$199.53 | +$180.13 | +$573.32 |
| Sep 30 | −$252.59 | −$199.53 | +$180.13 | +$573.32 |
| Oct 1 | −$338.38 | −$288.04 | +$89.40 | +$498.50 |
| Oct 2 | −$165.10 | −$101.18 | +$347.03 | +$543.75 |
| Oct 3 | −$102.16 | −$38.18 | +$381.48 | +$593.63 |
| Oct 4 | −$79.30 | +$5.73 | +$421.42 | +$732.09 |
| Oct 5 | +$36.65 | +$119.68 | +$504.82 | +$803.69 |
| Oct 6 | +$59.04 | +$129.62 | +$415.24 | +$197.53 |
| Oct 7 | −$48.26 | +$22.33 | +$125.68 | +$197.53 |
| Oct 8 | −$48.26 | +$22.33 | +$125.68 | +$197.53 |
| Oct 9 | −$291.28 | −$234.25 | −$132.92 | +$265.42 |
| Oct 10 | +$106.04 | +$140.52 | +$194.15 | +$444.93 |
| Oct 11 | +$360.41 | +$439.57 | +$379.83 | +$393.12 |
| Oct 12 | +$452.81 | +$525.35 | +$449.68 | +$393.69 |
| Oct 13 | +$457.52 | +$503.48 | +$545.02 | +$349.71 |
| Oct 14 | +$466.20 | +$506.39 | +$466.39 | +$398.92 |
| Oct 15 | +$787.15 | +$905.29 | +$818.94 | +$531.98 |
| Oct 16 | +$774.94 | +$898.06 | +$617.94 | +$509.92 |
| Oct 17 | −$54.37 | +$97.08 | −$49.59 | −$400.62 |
| Oct 18 | −$2,127 | −$628.63 | −$427.58 | −$1,935 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$2,127 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 22% |
| 1 min | −$628.63 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 21% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$427.58 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 19% |
| 30 min | −$1,935 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 19% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$807.44
- Delay helped+$550.34
- Slippage helped+$35.39
- Fees (buys $196.46 · sells $9.41)−$205.87
- Follower PnL−$427.58
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1,464 | −$427.58 | −1.3% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xccd8…f4deKeeps −10% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xda68…6b7bLeader lost money at this size
- 0x751a…9ea1Keeps 5% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.