In backtest, only 20% of 0xda68…6b7b's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 20% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 9% only partly; the −$2,062 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xda68…6b7b's 296 buys across 79 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$2,062. The leader lost $816.36 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $1,034, slippage $79.56 and fees $131.97. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $1,257 at once across 86 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 211 estimated: 0 high · 179 medium · 32 low · 24 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$2,455; 1 min: −$2,427; 5 min: −$2,062; 30 min: −$1,910. Max drawdown −$2,066 (5 min, Sep 28). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | −$8.92 |
| Sep 21 | −$1,532 | −$1,548 | −$858.32 | −$1,198 |
| Sep 22 | −$1,522 | −$1,538 | −$840.64 | −$1,196 |
| Sep 23 | −$1,522 | −$1,538 | −$840.64 | −$1,196 |
| Sep 24 | −$1,904 | −$1,858 | −$1,440 | −$1,304 |
| Sep 25 | −$1,894 | −$1,852 | −$1,426 | −$1,325 |
| Sep 26 | −$1,865 | −$1,822 | −$1,414 | −$1,292 |
| Sep 27 | −$2,174 | −$2,131 | −$1,723 | −$1,601 |
| Sep 28 | −$2,459 | −$2,427 | −$2,066 | −$1,910 |
| Sep 29 | −$2,455 | −$2,427 | −$2,062 | −$1,910 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$2,455 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 24% |
| 1 min | −$2,427 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 23% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$2,062 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 20% |
| 30 min | −$1,910 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 19% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$816.36
- Delay cost−$1,034
- Slippage−$79.56
- Fees (buys $121.36 · sells $10.61)−$131.97
- Follower PnL−$2,062
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 162 | −$2,045 | −38.5% |
| Tech | 85 | +$92.42 | +7.3% |
| Politics | 27 | −$108.48 | −22.0% |
| Geopolitics | 12 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Crypto | 8 | −$0.65 | −21.1% |
| Finance | 2 | +$0.03 | +0.1% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x751a…9ea1Keeps 5% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xd487…053eKeeps −472% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xfa12…9ff3Keeps −176% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.