In backtest, copying 0xcdcc…935a keeps 85% of returns at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
A copier who mirrored 0xcdcc…935a's 123 buys across 23 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have kept 85% of the leader's returns: +$1,129 against +$1,324 for the leader at the same size. In this backtest, most of the edge survived the delay, and 93% of buys could be filled within 10 minutes. The remaining gap is the delay helped by +$44.82, slippage helped by +$1.11 and fees $240.41. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $1,801 at once across 119 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 9 estimated: 7 high · 2 medium · 0 low How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$1,193; 1 min: +$1,299; 5 min: +$1,129; 30 min: +$1,648. Max drawdown −$1,507 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | +$1,041 | +$1,013 | +$973.91 | +$425.98 |
| Oct 6 | +$1,377 | +$1,362 | +$1,325 | +$644.15 |
| Oct 7 | +$1,335 | +$1,323 | +$1,288 | +$540.35 |
| Oct 8 | +$1,335 | +$1,323 | +$1,288 | +$540.35 |
| Oct 9 | +$1,335 | +$1,323 | +$1,288 | +$540.35 |
| Oct 10 | +$1,335 | +$1,323 | +$1,288 | +$540.35 |
| Oct 11 | +$1,335 | +$1,323 | +$1,288 | +$540.35 |
| Oct 12 | +$1,335 | +$1,323 | +$1,288 | +$540.35 |
| Oct 13 | +$1,587 | +$1,574 | +$1,537 | +$788.42 |
| Oct 14 | +$1,912 | +$1,892 | +$1,854 | +$1,130 |
| Oct 15 | +$2,374 | +$2,413 | +$2,238 | +$1,504 |
| Oct 16 | +$1,456 | +$1,494 | +$1,391 | +$1,799 |
| Oct 17 | +$1,456 | +$1,494 | +$1,391 | +$1,799 |
| Oct 18 | +$2,653 | +$2,683 | +$2,560 | +$3,007 |
| Oct 19 | +$2,422 | +$2,528 | +$2,358 | +$2,877 |
| Oct 20 | +$2,422 | +$2,528 | +$2,358 | +$2,877 |
| Oct 21 | +$2,422 | +$2,528 | +$2,358 | +$2,877 |
| Oct 22 | +$2,422 | +$2,528 | +$2,358 | +$2,877 |
| Oct 23 | +$2,422 | +$2,528 | +$2,358 | +$2,877 |
| Oct 24 | +$1,193 | +$1,299 | +$1,129 | +$1,648 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$1,193 | 90.1% | 95% |
| 1 min | +$1,299 | 98.1% | 94% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$1,129 | 85.3% | 93% |
| 30 min | +$1,648 | 100%+ (Exactly 124.5%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 76% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$1,324
- Delay helped+$44.82
- Slippage helped+$1.11
- Fees (buys $239.60 · sells $0.81)−$240.41
- Follower PnL+$1,129
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 123 | +$1,129 | +9.7% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xd20f…2f35Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xed57…e0a0Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x6202…c297Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.