In backtest, only 33% of 0xe7db…c00c's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional2 buys are too recent to evaluate at this delay: the market data after them isn't indexed yet, so they're left out of these numbers. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:34 UTC.
Only 33% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 12% only partly; the +$572.84 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xe7db…c00c's 35 buys across 13 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have made +$572.84 — more than the leader's +$68.92 at the same size, so the copier kept all of the leader's returns and more (831.1%). That happens when prices keep moving the leader's way after they buy and a later entry ends up cheaper: the delay helped by +$585.23, slippage $7.92 and fees $73.39. A small sample can flip this, so compare the other delays and the trades below. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $817.13 at once across 15 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 3 estimated: 1 high · 0 medium · 2 low · 16 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: +$590.08; 1 min: +$588.33; 5 min: +$572.84; 30 min: +$660.12. Max drawdown −$218.10 (5 min, Oct 2). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Sep 26 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Sep 27 | −$42.74 | −$45.26 | −$10.03 | +$22.39 |
| Sep 28 | −$44.12 | −$45.26 | −$10.03 | +$22.39 |
| Sep 29 | −$44.12 | −$45.26 | −$10.03 | +$22.39 |
| Sep 30 | −$44.12 | −$45.26 | −$10.03 | +$22.39 |
| Oct 1 | −$44.12 | −$45.26 | −$10.03 | +$22.39 |
| Oct 2 | −$248.86 | −$250.00 | −$218.10 | +$22.39 |
| Oct 3 | −$248.86 | −$250.00 | −$218.10 | +$22.39 |
| Oct 4 | −$248.86 | −$250.00 | −$218.10 | +$22.39 |
| Oct 5 | +$146.90 | +$155.37 | +$209.34 | +$90.51 |
| Oct 6 | +$146.90 | +$155.37 | +$209.34 | +$90.51 |
| Oct 7 | +$99.41 | +$108.21 | +$126.62 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 8 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 9 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 10 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 11 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 12 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 13 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 14 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 15 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 16 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 17 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 18 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 19 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 20 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 21 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 22 | +$141.75 | +$150.51 | +$172.35 | +$154.57 |
| Oct 23 | +$257.64 | +$245.56 | +$249.93 | +$274.54 |
| Oct 24 | +$590.08 | +$588.33 | +$572.84 | +$660.12 |
| Oct 25 | +$590.08 | +$588.33 | +$572.84 | +$660.12 |
| Oct 26 | +$590.08 | +$588.33 | +$572.84 | +$660.12 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | +$590.08 | 100%+ (Exactly 855.5%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 34% |
| 1 min | +$588.33 | 100%+ (Exactly 853.0%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 31% |
| 5 min (selected) | +$572.84 | 100%+ (Exactly 831.1%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 33% |
| 30 min | +$660.12 | 100%+ (Exactly 957.7%: the simulated copy did better than the leader) | 24% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$68.92
- Delay helped+$585.23
- Slippage−$7.92
- Fees (buys $40.02 · sells $33.37)−$73.39
- Follower PnL+$572.84
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 23 | +$895.12 | +110% |
| Sports | 10 | −$322.27 | −80.6% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Politics traders
- 0x55b4…80eaBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x24c8…23e1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x614d…1546Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x3c91…9af7Keeps 91% at a 5-minute delay
- 0xd46b…5dabBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x23d8…0288Keeps 88% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Politics copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.