FollowCheck 中文

0x0f6f…d977 lost money; a simulated copy at a 5-minute delay lost $3,874

Sports 0x0f6f76ced62a911bccef92f50faaff143854d977 Profile on Polymarket

A copier who mirrored 0x0f6f…d977's 211 buys across 22 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$3,874. The leader lost $4,862 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$1,254, slippage helped by +$29.83 and fees $295.60. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $3,145 at once across 142 positions.

Copy delay

Each time the trader buys, the simulation copies this much. Not a total budget.

Key numbers

Follower PnL
−$3,874
Incl. estimates −$11,311
Max drawdown −$5,207
ROI −31.2% on total cost
Returns kept
n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)
Leader, same size −$4,862
leader lost money
Peak capital in use
$3,145
Incl. estimates $9,200
211 copied buys · $12,402 total cost
Fill rate
55%
Incl. estimates 100%
115 filled · 27 partial · 69 no buyers
Backtest score
29/100
211 buys · 22 markets

The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 96 estimated: 92 high · 4 medium · 0 low How we estimate

Cumulative PnL across all copied positions

X axis
Max drawdown −$5.2k

Final values: 0 min: −$3,924; 1 min: −$3,836; 5 min: −$3,874; 30 min: −$13,756. Max drawdown −$5,207 (5 min, Oct 17). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.

Chart data by day
Day (UTC)0 min1 min5 min30 min
Sep 28−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Sep 29−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Sep 30−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 1−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 2−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 3−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 4−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 5−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 6−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 7−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 8−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 9−$2,157−$2,157−$2,156−$2,158
Oct 10−$2,186−$2,191−$2,199−$2,186
Oct 11−$2,699−$2,704−$2,712−$2,699
Oct 12−$1,822−$1,868−$2,085−$2,366
Oct 13−$2,866−$3,118−$3,896−$9,873
Oct 14−$2,866−$3,118−$3,896−$9,873
Oct 15−$2,866−$3,118−$3,896−$9,873
Oct 16−$2,866−$3,118−$3,896−$9,873
Oct 17−$4,950−$5,062−$5,207−$12,626
Oct 18−$5,144−$5,041−$4,772−$13,674
Oct 19−$4,690−$4,592−$4,468−$13,529
Oct 20−$4,300−$4,208−$4,171−$13,633
Oct 21−$4,341−$4,249−$4,263−$13,736
Oct 22−$4,341−$4,249−$4,263−$13,736
Oct 23−$4,341−$4,249−$4,263−$13,736
Oct 24−$4,187−$4,097−$4,115−$13,635
Oct 25−$3,924−$3,836−$3,874−$13,756

Every delay side by side

DelayFollower PnLKeptFilled
0 min−$3,924n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)61%
1 min−$3,836n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)61%
5 min (selected)−$3,874n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)55%
30 min−$13,756n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep)92%

Where the returns go

  1. Leader PnL at your size−$4,862
  2. Delay helped+$1,254
  3. Slippage helped+$29.83
  4. Fees (buys $295.60 · sells $0.00)−$295.60
  5. Follower PnL−$3,874

Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.

By category

CategoryTradesFollower PnLROI
Sports211−$3,874−31.2%

Data version 12086 · computed Oct 26, 2026 · 11 unsettled positions marked at the last traded price.

Trades

Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.

How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.

Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate

Show
Order
Date Market Leader price Copy price Fill Fill basis Follower PnL Details
Trades load from the live API when this section is visible.
Page 1

More Sports traders

See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.

This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.