0x26b4…b8a9 lost money; a simulated copy at a 5-minute delay lost $1,314
Provisional
A copier who mirrored 0x26b4…b8a9's 979 buys across 454 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$1,314. The leader lost $6,806 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$7,416, slippage $224.58 and fees $1,699. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $13,400 at once across 757 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 291 estimated: 63 high · 203 medium · 25 low · 24 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$1,791; 1 min: −$481.37; 5 min: −$1,314; 30 min: −$6,537. Max drawdown −$4,516 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$125.35 | −$140.64 | −$62.72 | −$226.34 |
| Sep 22 | +$111.60 | +$125.79 | +$261.96 | +$1,154 |
| Sep 23 | +$531.51 | +$516.58 | +$594.79 | +$1,105 |
| Sep 24 | −$422.00 | −$431.30 | −$598.74 | +$268.02 |
| Sep 25 | −$709.68 | −$626.06 | −$929.93 | −$748.58 |
| Sep 26 | −$818.69 | −$747.87 | −$975.97 | −$926.08 |
| Sep 27 | +$1,224 | +$837.63 | +$331.34 | −$243.77 |
| Sep 28 | +$1,523 | +$1,006 | +$595.40 | +$176.57 |
| Sep 29 | +$2,892 | +$2,322 | +$1,531 | −$244.76 |
| Sep 30 | +$2,581 | +$2,030 | +$1,054 | −$584.13 |
| Oct 1 | +$2,457 | +$2,049 | +$1,478 | −$1,291 |
| Oct 2 | +$2,087 | +$1,678 | +$994.87 | −$1,856 |
| Oct 3 | +$3,175 | +$2,924 | +$2,416 | −$1,602 |
| Oct 4 | +$2,727 | +$2,465 | +$2,376 | −$1,895 |
| Oct 5 | +$1,986 | +$1,831 | +$1,733 | −$2,201 |
| Oct 6 | +$2,424 | +$2,275 | +$1,884 | −$2,162 |
| Oct 7 | +$2,617 | +$2,430 | +$1,930 | −$2,169 |
| Oct 8 | +$1,622 | +$2,854 | +$1,982 | −$3,844 |
| Oct 9 | +$1,315 | +$2,562 | +$1,759 | −$4,098 |
| Oct 10 | +$1,234 | +$2,392 | +$1,673 | −$4,291 |
| Oct 11 | +$1,284 | +$2,417 | +$1,666 | −$3,421 |
| Oct 12 | +$887.68 | +$1,964 | +$1,182 | −$3,615 |
| Oct 13 | +$1,004 | +$2,087 | +$1,246 | −$3,483 |
| Oct 14 | +$500.39 | +$1,681 | +$923.44 | −$4,615 |
| Oct 15 | +$547.89 | +$1,837 | +$1,115 | −$3,956 |
| Oct 16 | +$376.00 | +$1,686 | +$916.39 | −$4,261 |
| Oct 17 | +$102.10 | +$1,350 | +$756.99 | −$4,941 |
| Oct 18 | −$328.54 | +$1,028 | +$506.64 | −$5,491 |
| Oct 19 | −$734.12 | +$616.75 | +$8.14 | −$5,944 |
| Oct 20 | −$1,379 | +$40.37 | −$661.76 | −$6,054 |
| Oct 21 | −$1,379 | +$40.37 | −$661.76 | −$6,054 |
| Oct 22 | −$1,379 | +$40.37 | −$661.76 | −$6,054 |
| Oct 23 | −$1,075 | +$255.56 | −$558.18 | −$6,153 |
| Oct 24 | −$2,145 | −$814.49 | −$1,628 | −$6,545 |
| Oct 25 | −$1,994 | −$687.38 | −$1,516 | −$6,851 |
| Oct 26 | −$1,791 | −$481.37 | −$1,314 | −$6,537 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$1,791 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 72% |
| 1 min | −$481.37 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 69% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$1,314 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 68% |
| 30 min | −$6,537 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 56% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$6,806
- Delay helped+$7,416
- Slippage−$224.58
- Fees (buys $1,602 · sells $97.07)−$1,699
- Follower PnL−$1,314
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 979 | −$1,314 | −1.9% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x26f8…3452Leader lost money at this size
- 0x1610…ae49Leader lost money at this size
- 0x315f…85c6Leader lost money at this size
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.