In backtest, only 49% of 0x2acc…ea7d's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 49% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 21% only partly; the −$2,810 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x2acc…ea7d's 2,081 buys across 380 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$2,810. The leader lost $126.84 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: the delay helped by +$2,598, slippage $2,625 and fees $2,657. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $10,467 at once across 1,444 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 503 estimated: 131 high · 223 medium · 149 low · 389 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$3,482; 1 min: +$1,161; 5 min: −$2,810; 30 min: −$3,466. Max drawdown −$5,736 (5 min, Oct 12). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | +$1,336 | +$5,234 | +$495.24 | −$291.79 |
| Oct 2 | +$1,973 | +$6,176 | +$2,087 | −$739.87 |
| Oct 3 | +$2,234 | +$5,956 | +$2,314 | −$1,345 |
| Oct 4 | +$960.04 | +$4,914 | +$2,078 | −$2,429 |
| Oct 5 | −$411.10 | +$3,648 | +$393.47 | −$3,999 |
| Oct 6 | −$970.93 | +$2,870 | −$526.80 | −$2,970 |
| Oct 7 | −$1,217 | +$2,869 | −$85.84 | −$3,001 |
| Oct 8 | −$997.73 | +$3,320 | −$158.59 | −$2,059 |
| Oct 9 | −$3,032 | +$1,644 | −$1,936 | −$2,787 |
| Oct 10 | −$3,325 | +$1,486 | −$2,052 | −$3,378 |
| Oct 11 | −$3,371 | +$1,555 | −$2,232 | −$2,903 |
| Oct 12 | −$3,482 | +$1,161 | −$2,810 | −$3,466 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$3,482 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 55% |
| 1 min | +$1,161 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 54% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$2,810 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 49% |
| 30 min | −$3,466 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 27% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$126.84
- Delay helped+$2,598
- Slippage−$2,625
- Fees (buys $2,657 · sells $0.00)−$2,657
- Follower PnL−$2,810
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2,079 | −$2,950 | −2.6% |
| Politics | 2 | +$140.02 | +70.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x4755…4158Keeps 13% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x6211…b89eKeeps −77% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x9aeb…2729Leader lost money at this size
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.