In backtest, only 44% of 0x9aeb…2729's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional1 buy is too recent to evaluate at this delay: the market data after it isn't indexed yet, so it's left out of these numbers. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:18 UTC.
Only 44% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 11% only partly; the −$7,604 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0x9aeb…2729's 955 buys across 317 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$7,604. The leader lost $1,994 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $4,414, slippage $121.56 and fees $1,075. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $7,252 at once across 532 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 467 estimated: 193 high · 213 medium · 61 low · 60 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$7,926; 1 min: −$7,272; 5 min: −$7,604; 30 min: −$5,401. Max drawdown −$8,300 (5 min, Oct 25). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$59.26 | −$13.19 | +$10.39 | −$115.64 |
| Sep 22 | −$55.96 | +$98.71 | +$152.86 | +$36.33 |
| Sep 23 | −$56.95 | +$98.71 | +$152.86 | +$35.93 |
| Sep 24 | −$94.26 | +$91.36 | +$200.19 | +$216.31 |
| Sep 25 | −$137.15 | +$191.63 | +$163.53 | +$151.91 |
| Sep 26 | +$85.50 | +$425.01 | +$40.81 | +$46.66 |
| Sep 27 | −$247.70 | +$256.98 | −$451.86 | −$15.77 |
| Sep 28 | −$331.95 | +$148.70 | −$599.73 | −$77.99 |
| Sep 29 | −$2,951 | −$2,509 | −$2,637 | −$2,735 |
| Sep 30 | −$2,781 | −$2,326 | −$2,471 | −$3,109 |
| Oct 1 | −$2,781 | −$2,326 | −$2,471 | −$3,109 |
| Oct 2 | −$2,802 | −$2,290 | −$2,362 | −$3,115 |
| Oct 3 | −$2,918 | −$2,297 | −$2,371 | −$3,222 |
| Oct 4 | −$2,130 | −$1,704 | −$1,972 | −$2,984 |
| Oct 5 | −$2,040 | −$1,536 | −$1,777 | −$3,122 |
| Oct 6 | −$3,371 | −$2,873 | −$3,103 | −$4,166 |
| Oct 7 | −$3,519 | −$3,014 | −$3,311 | −$4,166 |
| Oct 8 | −$3,203 | −$2,854 | −$3,126 | −$3,677 |
| Oct 9 | −$3,248 | −$2,886 | −$3,129 | −$3,572 |
| Oct 10 | −$3,503 | −$3,095 | −$3,600 | −$4,003 |
| Oct 11 | −$2,867 | −$2,521 | −$3,089 | −$2,093 |
| Oct 12 | −$3,341 | −$2,972 | −$3,375 | −$2,420 |
| Oct 13 | −$2,247 | −$1,654 | −$2,597 | −$2,082 |
| Oct 14 | −$1,143 | −$875.67 | −$2,287 | −$1,789 |
| Oct 15 | −$3,368 | −$3,181 | −$4,339 | −$2,803 |
| Oct 16 | −$2,348 | −$2,041 | −$3,345 | −$1,736 |
| Oct 17 | −$3,127 | −$2,808 | −$3,203 | −$2,585 |
| Oct 18 | −$5,689 | −$5,310 | −$5,467 | −$4,974 |
| Oct 19 | −$5,773 | −$5,434 | −$6,387 | −$4,898 |
| Oct 20 | −$5,997 | −$5,427 | −$6,279 | −$4,934 |
| Oct 21 | −$5,705 | −$5,303 | −$6,134 | −$4,828 |
| Oct 22 | −$4,996 | −$4,526 | −$5,686 | −$4,149 |
| Oct 23 | −$6,740 | −$6,211 | −$7,201 | −$5,399 |
| Oct 24 | −$6,745 | −$6,217 | −$7,201 | −$5,404 |
| Oct 25 | −$7,932 | −$7,281 | −$7,671 | −$5,431 |
| Oct 26 | −$7,926 | −$7,272 | −$7,604 | −$5,401 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$7,926 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 52% |
| 1 min | −$7,272 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 48% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$7,604 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 44% |
| 30 min | −$5,401 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 35% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$1,994
- Delay cost−$4,414
- Slippage−$121.56
- Fees (buys $999.56 · sells $75.39)−$1,075
- Follower PnL−$7,604
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 463 | −$7,794 | −24.3% |
| Tech | 185 | +$717.38 | +26.3% |
| Politics | 180 | −$458.57 | −5.0% |
| Culture | 105 | +$53.13 | +6.4% |
| Economy | 11 | +$36.35 | +11.7% |
| Finance | 4 | +$0.14 | +1.7% |
| Geopolitics | 4 | −$178.49 | −100% |
| Crypto | 2 | +$19.55 | +9.8% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xcb89…a2e8Keeps −1115% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x0a77…9d74Leader lost money at this size
- 0xc670…b781Leader lost money at this size
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.