0x7a75…d288 lost money; a simulated copy at a 5-minute delay lost $1,194
Provisional
A copier who mirrored 0x7a75…d288's 398 buys across 58 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$1,194. The leader lost $520.13 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $496.57, slippage helped by +$19.02 and fees $195.91. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $6,616 at once across 317 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 90 estimated: 0 high · 85 medium · 5 low · 5 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$1,509; 1 min: −$1,511; 5 min: −$1,194; 30 min: −$2,219. Max drawdown −$3,503 (5 min, Oct 10). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | −$191.05 | −$195.15 | −$188.31 | −$105.27 |
| Sep 22 | −$20.04 | −$33.54 | −$100.32 | +$0.89 |
| Sep 23 | −$20.04 | −$33.54 | −$100.32 | +$0.89 |
| Sep 24 | +$20.40 | +$2.86 | −$84.23 | +$10.38 |
| Sep 25 | +$131.03 | +$85.02 | +$83.66 | −$90.11 |
| Sep 26 | +$507.61 | +$461.23 | +$530.93 | +$191.62 |
| Sep 27 | +$808.82 | +$778.07 | +$920.24 | +$379.56 |
| Sep 28 | +$808.82 | +$778.07 | +$920.24 | +$379.56 |
| Sep 29 | +$860.73 | +$815.98 | +$954.31 | +$420.52 |
| Sep 30 | +$626.41 | +$580.26 | +$707.50 | +$269.36 |
| Oct 1 | +$746.29 | +$758.99 | +$1,009 | +$366.67 |
| Oct 2 | +$773.42 | +$793.80 | +$1,110 | +$392.94 |
| Oct 3 | +$1,063 | +$1,084 | +$1,364 | +$603.92 |
| Oct 4 | +$1,324 | +$1,308 | +$1,640 | +$435.40 |
| Oct 5 | +$1,324 | +$1,308 | +$1,640 | +$435.40 |
| Oct 6 | +$1,377 | +$1,361 | +$1,708 | +$529.23 |
| Oct 7 | +$1,377 | +$1,361 | +$1,708 | +$529.23 |
| Oct 8 | +$1,377 | +$1,361 | +$1,708 | +$529.23 |
| Oct 9 | +$1,283 | +$1,268 | +$1,615 | +$517.77 |
| Oct 10 | −$1,509 | −$1,511 | −$1,194 | −$2,219 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$1,509 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 78% |
| 1 min | −$1,511 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 74% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$1,194 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 76% |
| 30 min | −$2,219 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 64% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$520.13
- Delay cost−$496.57
- Slippage helped+$19.02
- Fees (buys $195.04 · sells $0.87)−$195.91
- Follower PnL−$1,194
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 398 | −$1,194 | −3.9% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe9b7…ce7bKeeps −3212% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x2798…0b7dLeader lost money at this size
- 0x31e5…4879Leader lost money at this size
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.