0x9d69…ab3a lost money; a simulated copy at a 5-minute delay lost $2,644
Provisional3 buys are too recent to evaluate at this delay: the market data after them isn't indexed yet, so they're left out of these numbers. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:08 UTC.
A copier who mirrored 0x9d69…ab3a's 1,084 buys across 290 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$2,644. The leader lost $263.58 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $845.90, slippage $126.50 and fees $1,408. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $25,614 at once across 784 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 291 estimated: 67 high · 194 medium · 30 low · 73 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$782.53; 1 min: +$266.24; 5 min: −$2,644; 30 min: −$3,816. Max drawdown −$6,952 (5 min, Oct 24). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | +$1,875 | +$1,911 | +$2,120 | +$422.65 |
| Sep 22 | +$2,137 | +$2,135 | +$2,456 | +$459.30 |
| Sep 23 | +$2,118 | +$2,129 | +$2,427 | +$459.46 |
| Sep 24 | +$1,305 | +$1,413 | +$1,453 | −$395.03 |
| Sep 25 | −$82.34 | −$73.68 | −$171.30 | −$1,433 |
| Sep 26 | −$626.64 | +$939.78 | −$559.09 | −$2,194 |
| Sep 27 | −$1,339 | +$129.02 | −$912.04 | −$2,483 |
| Sep 28 | −$2,365 | −$973.25 | −$1,586 | −$2,650 |
| Sep 29 | −$2,860 | −$2,307 | −$2,676 | −$2,451 |
| Sep 30 | −$2,953 | −$2,410 | −$2,677 | −$2,451 |
| Oct 1 | −$3,001 | −$2,463 | −$2,720 | −$2,451 |
| Oct 2 | −$3,411 | −$2,888 | −$3,183 | −$2,752 |
| Oct 3 | −$3,407 | −$2,884 | −$3,164 | −$2,752 |
| Oct 4 | −$2,829 | −$2,402 | −$2,734 | −$862.26 |
| Oct 5 | −$2,943 | −$2,451 | −$2,570 | −$697.92 |
| Oct 6 | −$2,568 | −$2,126 | −$2,108 | −$637.03 |
| Oct 7 | −$534.80 | −$82.56 | −$2,702 | −$1,384 |
| Oct 8 | −$710.91 | −$347.67 | −$3,017 | −$1,368 |
| Oct 9 | −$710.89 | −$347.64 | −$3,017 | −$1,367 |
| Oct 10 | −$710.89 | −$347.64 | −$3,017 | −$1,367 |
| Oct 11 | −$710.89 | −$347.64 | −$3,017 | −$1,367 |
| Oct 12 | −$710.89 | −$347.64 | −$3,017 | −$1,367 |
| Oct 13 | −$820.27 | −$897.70 | −$3,743 | −$2,200 |
| Oct 14 | −$766.63 | −$844.40 | −$3,697 | −$2,155 |
| Oct 15 | −$1,324 | −$1,399 | −$4,212 | −$2,482 |
| Oct 16 | −$1,324 | −$1,399 | −$4,212 | −$2,482 |
| Oct 17 | −$1,071 | −$1,108 | −$4,130 | −$2,335 |
| Oct 18 | −$926.18 | −$796.53 | −$3,469 | −$2,371 |
| Oct 19 | −$770.03 | −$633.90 | −$3,392 | −$2,371 |
| Oct 20 | −$1,064 | −$889.17 | −$3,800 | −$2,851 |
| Oct 21 | −$1,158 | −$1,022 | −$4,059 | −$3,079 |
| Oct 22 | −$1,152 | −$1,007 | −$4,099 | −$3,129 |
| Oct 23 | −$933.75 | −$788.77 | −$3,939 | −$3,040 |
| Oct 24 | −$324.35 | +$743.17 | −$2,173 | −$3,558 |
| Oct 25 | −$290.84 | +$809.19 | −$2,106 | −$3,321 |
| Oct 26 | −$782.53 | +$266.24 | −$2,644 | −$3,816 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$782.53 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 74% |
| 1 min | +$266.24 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 73% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$2,644 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 66% |
| 30 min | −$3,816 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 33% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$263.58
- Delay cost−$845.90
- Slippage−$126.50
- Fees (buys $1,408 · sells $0.05)−$1,408
- Follower PnL−$2,644
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 935 | −$4,298 | −6.2% |
| Crypto | 143 | +$1,654 | +56.1% |
| Tech | 2 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Politics | 1 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xe787…5034Leader lost money at this size
- 0x11fe…93e0Leader lost money at this size
- 0x5bfe…3258Keeps 3% at a 5-minute delay
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.