0xe787…5034 lost money; a simulated copy at a 5-minute delay lost $26,397
ProvisionalIncludes trades from the last ~40 minutes, so these results may still change. Computed Oct 26, 2026, 02:29 UTC.
A copier who mirrored 0xe787…5034's 3,258 buys across 475 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$26,397. The leader lost $3,660 at the same size, so there were no returns to keep: delay cost $15,711, slippage $179.20 and fees $6,848. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $60,902 at once across 2,370 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 1,049 estimated: 800 high · 223 medium · 26 low · 136 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$31,348; 1 min: −$30,968; 5 min: −$26,397; 30 min: −$8,475. Max drawdown −$37,009 (5 min, Oct 25). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | +$824.51 | +$816.56 | +$545.80 | −$373.04 |
| Sep 25 | +$1,631 | +$1,456 | +$1,403 | +$1,254 |
| Sep 26 | +$2,358 | +$2,217 | +$1,770 | +$1,254 |
| Sep 27 | +$3,013 | +$3,212 | +$2,591 | −$15.46 |
| Sep 28 | +$683.32 | +$811.49 | +$303.30 | −$1,742 |
| Sep 29 | −$1,124 | −$902.36 | −$974.03 | −$2,829 |
| Sep 30 | −$2,835 | −$2,513 | −$3,042 | −$3,976 |
| Oct 1 | −$1,601 | −$1,282 | −$671.53 | −$3,931 |
| Oct 2 | −$6,171 | −$5,826 | −$5,292 | −$7,677 |
| Oct 3 | −$5,779 | −$5,455 | −$5,317 | −$7,326 |
| Oct 4 | −$13,167 | −$13,680 | −$14,281 | −$16,383 |
| Oct 5 | −$14,448 | −$14,961 | −$15,412 | −$16,077 |
| Oct 6 | −$11,103 | −$11,889 | −$11,821 | −$10,368 |
| Oct 7 | −$10,173 | −$10,909 | −$12,063 | −$10,661 |
| Oct 8 | −$10,264 | −$10,977 | −$10,867 | −$9,354 |
| Oct 9 | −$10,558 | −$11,303 | −$11,350 | −$10,389 |
| Oct 10 | −$10,737 | −$11,638 | −$11,526 | −$10,348 |
| Oct 11 | −$8,370 | −$9,325 | −$9,424 | −$8,706 |
| Oct 12 | −$5,665 | −$6,504 | −$5,454 | −$9,711 |
| Oct 13 | −$2,877 | −$3,961 | −$590.88 | −$8,927 |
| Oct 14 | −$1,420 | −$2,309 | +$2,605 | −$5,135 |
| Oct 15 | −$1,893 | −$2,402 | +$3,375 | −$4,266 |
| Oct 16 | −$1,794 | −$2,330 | +$4,175 | −$1,982 |
| Oct 17 | −$344.66 | −$1,057 | +$5,289 | −$1,109 |
| Oct 18 | −$1,846 | −$2,646 | +$3,307 | +$1,563 |
| Oct 19 | −$11,817 | −$13,351 | −$8,305 | −$12,492 |
| Oct 20 | −$9,589 | −$11,313 | −$4,964 | −$5,582 |
| Oct 21 | −$8,559 | −$10,441 | −$4,176 | −$3,202 |
| Oct 22 | −$20,758 | −$21,533 | −$16,484 | −$5,576 |
| Oct 23 | −$16,725 | −$17,664 | −$13,298 | −$2,880 |
| Oct 24 | −$19,353 | −$19,948 | −$15,998 | +$1,172 |
| Oct 25 | −$32,375 | −$31,986 | −$27,369 | −$9,262 |
| Oct 26 | −$31,348 | −$30,968 | −$26,397 | −$8,475 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$31,348 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 61% |
| 1 min | −$30,968 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 60% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$26,397 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 63% |
| 30 min | −$8,475 | n/a (The leader lost money at this size, so there were no returns to keep) | 61% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size−$3,660
- Delay cost−$15,711
- Slippage−$179.20
- Fees (buys $6,551 · sells $296.27)−$6,848
- Follower PnL−$26,397
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3,258 | −$26,397 | −12.2% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Sports traders
- 0x74b7…8b0bBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0xf28e…cab2Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x5dee…30b1Beat the leader at a 5-minute delay
- 0x11fe…93e0Leader lost money at this size
- 0x5bfe…3258Keeps 3% at a 5-minute delay
- 0x8f69…7df1Leader lost money at this size
See the full Sports copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.