In backtest, only 0% of 0xdf1c…2ebb's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay
Provisional
Only 0% of this trader's buys could be fully copied at a 5-minute delay, and another 8% only partly; the −$7.30 comes from the part you could copy. A copier who mirrored 0xdf1c…2ebb's 51 buys across 11 markets with a 5-minute delay and $100 per trade would have ended at −$7.30, while the leader made +$274.52 at the same size. At a 5-minute delay a follower can't keep up: delay cost $279.01, slippage $0.00 and fees $2.81 outweigh whatever edge the leader had. In the backtest, this simulated copy would have tied up to $191.62 at once across 4 positions.
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Key numbers
The headline numbers only count what real trades in the 10 minutes after the delay prove. “Including estimates” also counts the unproven part of a buy when order-book or trading-volume evidence says it was fillable, at an estimated price. Treat it as an upper view, not a promise. 41 estimated: 19 high · 15 medium · 7 low · 10 thin How we estimate
Cumulative PnL across all copied positions
Final values: 0 min: −$3.55; 1 min: −$12.09; 5 min: −$7.30; 30 min: −$0.04. Max drawdown −$7.31 (5 min, Oct 16). Hover or use the arrow keys to read values.
Chart data by day
| Day (UTC) | 0 min | 1 min | 5 min | 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 1 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 2 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 3 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 4 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 5 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 6 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 7 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 8 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 9 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 10 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 11 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 12 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 13 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 14 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 15 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Oct 16 | −$11.91 | −$11.75 | −$7.31 | $0.00 |
| Oct 17 | −$12.60 | −$12.10 | −$7.31 | −$0.04 |
| Oct 18 | −$12.60 | −$12.10 | −$7.31 | −$0.04 |
| Oct 19 | −$3.55 | −$12.09 | −$7.31 | −$0.04 |
| Oct 20 | −$3.55 | −$12.09 | −$7.31 | −$0.04 |
| Oct 21 | −$3.55 | −$12.09 | −$7.31 | −$0.04 |
| Oct 22 | −$3.55 | −$12.09 | −$7.30 | −$0.04 |
Every delay side by side
| Delay | Follower PnL | Kept | Filled |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 min | −$3.55 | −1.3% | 4% |
| 1 min | −$12.09 | −4.4% | 2% |
| 5 min (selected) | −$7.30 | −2.7% | 0% |
| 30 min | −$0.04 | 0.0% | 0% |
Where the returns go
- Leader PnL at your size+$274.52
- Delay cost−$279.01
- Slippage$0.00
- Fees (buys $2.81 · sells $0.00)−$2.81
- Follower PnL−$7.30
Leader PnL is scaled to your per-trade size. Delay cost is the price move between the leader's fill and yours; slippage is walking the book to fill your size; fees use the 2026 fee schedule. Methodology.
By category
| Category | Trades | Follower PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 34 | −$0.03 | −0.8% |
| Finance | 9 | −$7.27 | −3.9% |
| Economy | 8 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
Trades
Each leader buy and the copy we simulated at the selected delay. Open “Details” to see the market fills behind the copy price.
How fills are simulated: a copy can only fill against real taker buys of the same outcome within 10 minutes after the delay, so the headline numbers are conservative. Fill basis adds a second opinion: where no trade proved a fill, order-book or volume evidence may say the size was still fillable (an estimate, never in the headline). Methodology.
Filled whole order · Partial (NN%) part of it · No buyers nobody bought in the window — not counted · Data not in yet too recent to evaluate
| Date | Market | Leader price | Copy price | Fill | Fill basis | Follower PnL | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trades load from the live API when this section is visible. | |||||||
More Politics traders
- 0x55b4…80eaBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
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- 0xff1e…5e2dBeat the leader at a 5-minute delay
See the full Politics copyability board, read the methodology, or learn how slippage and fees eat into copied returns.
This is a simulation built from historical on-chain fills; it is not a record of real copy trades. Past results don't predict future results. Only the wallet address and its public Polymarket name are shown.