Polymarket 加密货币类交易员模拟跟单榜（晚 5 分钟跟单）
按跟单者能保留多少收益排序，而不是按交易员自己赚了多少。每位交易员的买入都按跟单延迟、以当时真实能买到的价格重放，并扣除滑点和手续费。回测评分（0–100）综合了收益保留率、成交率和样本量。
跟单延迟
样本外窗口
加密货币类盈亏榜前 20 名中有 8 人，晚 5 分钟跟单会让跟单者亏钱。
| 排名 | 交易员 | 评分 | 收益保留率 | 跟单收益率 | 样本外收益率（7 天） | 交易员盈亏 | 买入笔数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x08e4…e173 | 80 | 100%+ (准确值 281.1%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +7.7% | −5.5% | +$88.14 | 91 |
| 2 | 0x7789…a280 | 80 | 100%+ (准确值 157.0%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +1.9% | −2.5% | +$281.26 | 907 |
| 3 | 0xe392…c023 | 79 | 100%+ (准确值 141.7%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +26.5% | −41.0% | +$6,496 | 1,818 |
| 4 | 0xe744…f96e | 56 | 55.8% | +0.9% | +2.9% | +$148.83 | 257 |
| 5 | 0x2858…119d | 54 | 55.1% | +1.3% | −5.6% | +$261.90 | 435 |
| 6 | 0x21c5…3533 | 52 | 51.2% | +4.7% | −3.3% | +$1,277 | 507 |
| 7 | 0x239a…a949 | 49 | 42.2% | +0.3% | 不适用 | +$33.04 | 127 |
| 8 | 0xe734…4f0c | 45 | 48.1% | +10.8% | +13.9% | +$2,628 | 2,560 |
| 9 | 0xa19c…de6b | 45 | 45.9% | +19.3% | −7.8% | +$1.6万 | 2,918 |
| 10 | 0x77e7…88ad | 43 | 35.8% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +$635.14 | 988 |
| 11 | 0x2d88…d5e8 | 40 | 35.7% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +$38.20 | 392 |
| 12 | 0x5aa2…d7d0 | 34 | 23.9% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +$137.28 | 363 |
| 13 | 0xf70e…81df | 32 | 19.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +$1,930 | 2,389 |
| 14 | 0x7887…2cf0 | 31 | 22.9% | +1.1% | +0.2% | +$123.77 | 182 |
| 15 | 0x34e8…065d | 29 | 18.8% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +$25.99 | 208 |
| 16 | 0x8611…d340 | 28 | 17.6% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +$36.31 | 317 |
| 17 | 0x67ca…93b6 | 28 | −253% | −1.8% | −3.0% | +$364.64 | 947 |
| 18 | 0xb26f…5b27 | 27 | 14.9% | +0.4% | −62.2% | +$121.21 | 344 |
| 19 | 0xf22e…0c2c | 26 | 21.5% | +2.2% | −20.5% | +$44.04 | 49 |
| 20 | 0x8320…904e | 26 | −161% | −3.7% | +3.5% | +$910.15 | 810 |
| 21 | 0xaad0…f61d | 25 | −14.9% | −0.4% | +1.5% | +$473.37 | 361 |
| 22 | 0x73a0…9342 | 24 | −275% | −1.0% | −0.9% | +$208.32 | 1,403 |
| 23 | 0x84d3…b286 | 23 | 11.6% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +$241.33 | 196 |
| 24 | 0x9bbf…c59f | 23 | 9.9% | +2.1% | 0.0% | +$344.30 | 177 |
| 25 | 0x60f1…cb3e | 23 | −14.2% | −0.3% | −0.7% | +$858.69 | 1,334 |
| 26 | 0x2322…3ede | 22 | 10.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +$52.76 | 1,060 |
| 27 | 0xd1c7…1d2b | 22 | 8.9% | +0.2% | 0.0% | +$88.77 | 680 |
| 28 | 0xebf0…e275 | 22 | 7.9% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +$347.80 | 314 |
| 29 | 0x3e3d…d674 | 22 | −42.4% | −0.6% | +0.7% | +$82.01 | 185 |
| 30 | 0xaac2…e8ce | 22 | −72.6% | −0.6% | +1.3% | +$318.73 | 1,144 |
| 31 | 0x4f31…efa3 | 21 | 6.9% | +3.9% | −1.7% | +$1,300 | 251 |
| 32 | 0x5371…76eb | 21 | 4.7% | +2.5% | −1.6% | +$1,948 | 322 |
| 33 | 0xc2db…6865 | 21 | −119% | −3.2% | −40.3% | +$371.01 | 466 |
| 34 | 0x6085…4219 | 21 | −508% | −27.8% | −9.5% | +$941.58 | 627 |
| 35 | 0x27d8…d41f | 20 | 7.2% | +0.1% | 0.0% | +$30.47 | 385 |
| 36 | 0x914e…dea4 | 20 | −213% | −0.2% | +0.7% | +$7.06 | 373 |
| 37 | 0xdea2…a81e | 20 | −308% | −0.2% | +0.2% | +$7.83 | 524 |
| 38 | 0x7f3c…5613 | 19 | 11.6% | +7.0% | 0.0% | +$60.67 | 52 |
| 39 | 0xdeb2…9aa8 | 18 | −20.6% | −1.1% | +5.6% | +$324.70 | 500 |
| 40 | 0xcc50…4c82 | 18 | −24.7% | −2.7% | +9.7% | +$7,448 | 3,987 |
| 41 | 0xf16f…9f16 | 18 | −60.3% | −1.5% | +1.2% | +$78.06 | 236 |
| 42 | 0xd04e…41b8 | 17 | −3.4% | −1.5% | +4.8% | +$1,721 | 492 |
| 43 | 0xd104…acef | 17 | −101% | −16.8% | +6.3% | +$1,194 | 727 |
| 44 | 0xa2c9…9c10 | 17 | −360% | −12.4% | −21.3% | +$355.22 | 832 |
| 45 | 0xebe4…e616 | 17 | −718% | −13.3% | 不适用 | +$91.88 | 538 |
| 46 | 0x5e32…3334 | 16 | 4.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +$14.40 | 48 |
| 47 | 0x252d…c456 | 16 | −3.2% | −6.4% | −7.1% | +$3.1万 | 2,574 |
| 48 | 0x751a…9ea1 | 16 | −4.8% | −0.6% | +3.4% | +$1,866 | 3,053 |
| 49 | 0x6e2c…b7f8 | 16 | −17.4% | −0.5% | +0.2% | +$190.16 | 1,731 |
| 50 | 0xc97b…47e5 | 16 | −27.4% | −2.3% | +0.3% | +$656.53 | 1,115 |
怎么看这个榜单
- 收益保留率：跟单者盈亏除以交易员在同等每笔金额下的盈亏。超过 100% 说明模拟跟单结果好于交易员；“不适用”表示交易员本身亏损，没有收益可保留。
- 样本外收益率：排名区间之后 7 天内的模拟跟单收益率，用来检验排名在之后是否还成立。为什么这很重要。
- 交易员盈亏只作参考，不影响排名。
其他榜单
过往结果不代表未来表现。本榜单是模拟跟单结果的排序，不是跟单推荐。交易员只以地址和 Polymarket 公开昵称标识。