Polymarket 经济类交易员模拟跟单榜（晚 5 分钟跟单）
按跟单者能保留多少收益排序，而不是按交易员自己赚了多少。每位交易员的买入都按跟单延迟、以当时真实能买到的价格重放，并扣除滑点和手续费。回测评分（0–100）综合了收益保留率、成交率和样本量。
跟单延迟
样本外窗口
经济类盈亏榜前 20 名中有 7 人，晚 5 分钟跟单会让跟单者亏钱。
| 排名 | 交易员 | 评分 | 收益保留率 | 跟单收益率 | 样本外收益率（7 天） | 交易员盈亏 | 买入笔数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0x2b77…9ec3 | 77 | 100%+ (准确值 502.2%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +364% | +136% | +$1,297 | 115 |
| 2 | 0x690b…bd2c | 77 | 100%+ (准确值 118.1%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +5.9% | +6.7% | +$67.27 | 43 |
| 3 | 0x0845…6b6f | 66 | 78.0% | +13.9% | −16.3% | +$3,661 | 907 |
| 4 | 0xdf17…97d1 | 65 | 76.2% | +21.5% | +1.8% | +$2.3万 | 3,541 |
| 5 | 0xbe89…b88c | 55 | 59.2% | +8.9% | 0.0% | +$1,484 | 535 |
| 6 | 0x7b02…4991 | 47 | 52.3% | +88.8% | −0.5% | +$4,504 | 559 |
| 7 | 0x0ffc…8236 | 38 | 38.8% | +39.7% | +38.5% | +$1,280 | 776 |
| 8 | 0xa53b…4021 | 38 | 37.0% | +61.5% | +115% | +$4,457 | 684 |
| 9 | 0xcdb1…276c | 34 | 28.2% | +3.6% | −3.6% | +$1,180 | 1,051 |
| 10 | 0xd06f…d4a6 | 32 | 27.6% | +41.9% | −0.1% | +$927.92 | 319 |
| 11 | 0x052f…53fb | 29 | 20.5% | +1.5% | −1.3% | +$98.54 | 211 |
| 12 | 0x6fa7…907e | 27 | 18.1% | +17.4% | +23.7% | +$6,831 | 892 |
| 13 | 0x2a01…6397 | 25 | 10.3% | +3.1% | +2.0% | +$4,506 | 968 |
| 14 | 0xcb89…a2e8 | 25 | −297% | −2.4% | −0.7% | +$127.46 | 400 |
| 15 | 0x0826…0b32 | 23 | 10.4% | +5.6% | −48.9% | +$2,387 | 417 |
| 16 | 0x8a7b…782f | 23 | 10.0% | +2.4% | +0.3% | +$607.26 | 328 |
| 17 | 0x76db…6987 | 21 | −25.4% | −8.3% | −20.9% | +$1.9万 | 2,179 |
| 18 | 0x21d0…ce91 | 19 | 5.8% | +3.1% | +7.6% | +$2,194 | 1,509 |
| 19 | 0x4755…4338 | 18 | 7.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +$9.84 | 105 |
| 20 | 0xa4b3…87b8 | 17 | 2.8% | +2.9% | −15.1% | +$3,812 | 2,329 |
| 21 | 0xf0ca…66ed | 17 | 2.3% | +35.2% | −13.2% | +$6,774 | 215 |
| 22 | 0xff7c…b233 | 17 | −17.0% | −3.0% | −7.5% | +$1,437 | 841 |
| 23 | 0xd104…acef | 17 | −101% | −16.8% | +6.3% | +$1,194 | 727 |
| 24 | 0xb1ca…1705 | 16 | 1.4% | +9.4% | −36.7% | +$1.4万 | 857 |
| 25 | 0x8deb…7062 | 16 | −6.9% | −0.6% | −0.1% | +$188.23 | 482 |
| 26 | 0x4388…5050 | 16 | −11.4% | −17.5% | +8.7% | +$5,859 | 681 |
| 27 | 0xaf15…5dd2 | 16 | −21.6% | −9.2% | 不适用 | +$602.77 | 147 |
| 28 | 0xf6ea…0a00 | 16 | −27.9% | −1.7% | −3.7% | +$176.92 | 321 |
| 29 | 0xcaab…24dd | 16 | −355% | −7.4% | −19.1% | +$123.15 | 1,060 |
| 30 | 0x2e3e…abea | 15 | 0.1% | +1.5% | +15.0% | +$1.1万 | 691 |
| 31 | 0x1f9e…4f1a | 15 | −4.3% | −6.6% | 不适用 | +$1,105 | 527 |
| 32 | 0x4ad6…464c | 15 | −19.6% | −21.0% | −23.1% | +$1,430 | 948 |
| 33 | 0x56ad…f13e | 14 | 0.9% | +14.3% | 0.0% | +$2,028 | 133 |
| 34 | 0xc3da…41fe | 12 | −21.4% | −89.4% | +122% | +$307.01 | 65 |
怎么看这个榜单
- 收益保留率：跟单者盈亏除以交易员在同等每笔金额下的盈亏。超过 100% 说明模拟跟单结果好于交易员；“不适用”表示交易员本身亏损，没有收益可保留。
- 样本外收益率：排名区间之后 7 天内的模拟跟单收益率，用来检验排名在之后是否还成立。为什么这很重要。
- 交易员盈亏只作参考，不影响排名。
其他榜单
过往结果不代表未来表现。本榜单是模拟跟单结果的排序，不是跟单推荐。交易员只以地址和 Polymarket 公开昵称标识。