Polymarket 体育类交易员模拟跟单榜（晚 5 分钟跟单）
按跟单者能保留多少收益排序，而不是按交易员自己赚了多少。每位交易员的买入都按跟单延迟、以当时真实能买到的价格重放，并扣除滑点和手续费。回测评分（0–100）综合了收益保留率、成交率和样本量。
跟单延迟
样本外窗口
体育类盈亏榜前 20 名中有 1 人，晚 5 分钟跟单会让跟单者亏钱。
| 排名 | 交易员 | 评分 | 收益保留率 | 跟单收益率 | 样本外收益率（7 天） | 交易员盈亏 | 买入笔数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xf19b…1613 | 99 | 100%+ (准确值 121.0%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +10.2% | −32.3% | +$1,651 | 205 |
| 2 | 0xf54e…1297 | 95 | 100%+ (准确值 3541.1%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +1.1% | −16.6% | +$3.94 | 145 |
| 3 | 0xf28e…cab2 | 95 | 100%+ (准确值 270.3%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +18.9% | +28.7% | +$2,721 | 480 |
| 4 | 0x5dee…30b1 | 94 | 100%+ (准确值 580.3%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +15.9% | −16.1% | +$282.42 | 125 |
| 5 | 0x31e5…4879 | 93 | 100%+ (准确值 210.4%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +37.8% | −95.8% | +$2,700 | 206 |
| 6 | 0xc4ad…9948 | 90 | 100%+ (准确值 659.5%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +9.1% | +7.8% | +$3,423 | 3,925 |
| 7 | 0x47c8…86bc | 90 | 100%+ (准确值 139.1%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +18.2% | −2.0% | +$4,145 | 518 |
| 8 | 0xa2f4…6d95 | 89 | 100%+ (准确值 67422.9%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +12.5% | −39.9% | +$1.57 | 121 |
| 9 | 0x996b…abf7 | 89 | 100%+ (准确值 172.8%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +2.4% | −4.9% | +$181.51 | 216 |
| 10 | 0xcdcc…935a | 89 | 87.6% | +25.1% | −102% | +$2,924 | 107 |
| 11 | 0x615b…9591 | 88 | 100%+ (准确值 1097.2%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +4.0% | −93.7% | +$45.34 | 209 |
| 12 | 0x5bfe…3258 | 88 | 100%+ (准确值 172.7%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +2.0% | −4.0% | +$2,233 | 3,454 |
| 13 | 0xd20f…2f35 | 88 | 100%+ (准确值 150.7%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +31.5% | 不适用 | +$3,423 | 302 |
| 14 | 0xed57…e0a0 | 86 | 100%+ (准确值 906.2%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +11.6% | 不适用 | +$562.74 | 919 |
| 15 | 0x6202…c297 | 86 | 100%+ (准确值 104.5%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +2.9% | +1.9% | +$767.23 | 570 |
| 16 | 0x506a…bd4e | 85 | 100%+ (准确值 316.1%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +77.6% | −103% | +$2,755 | 269 |
| 17 | 0x9243…658e | 83 | 100%+ (准确值 243.1%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +15.2% | −33.2% | +$1,242 | 569 |
| 18 | 0x1691…304f | 80 | 100%+ (准确值 597.7%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +7.1% | −23.2% | +$180.37 | 692 |
| 19 | 0x3e69…074b | 79 | 68.2% | +9.7% | +9.6% | +$2,489 | 187 |
| 20 | 0x677d…4907 | 77 | 86.4% | +14.4% | −20.6% | +$949.86 | 95 |
| 21 | 0x02b4…7092 | 76 | 92.5% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +$411.46 | 1,400 |
| 22 | 0x996a…e3cc | 75 | 93.1% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +$662.87 | 1,255 |
| 23 | 0xbeb1…4687 | 75 | 91.6% | +44.4% | 不适用 | +$4.8万 | 4,868 |
| 24 | 0x4f30…1e29 | 74 | 100%+ (准确值 235.2%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +0.3% | 0.0% | +$0.71 | 67 |
| 25 | 0x8935…1422 | 74 | 100%+ (准确值 203.7%：模拟跟单结果好于交易员) | +0.3% | 0.0% | +$0.82 | 59 |
| 26 | 0xc6be…a0f3 | 61 | 48.9% | +1.0% | +3.8% | +$1,735 | 1,264 |
| 27 | 0xd84d…cc32 | 54 | 49.8% | +14.5% | −2.6% | +$3,325 | 279 |
| 28 | 0xe734…4f0c | 45 | 48.1% | +10.8% | +13.9% | +$2,628 | 2,560 |
| 29 | 0xe787…5034 | 45 | 23.0% | +2.5% | −33.2% | +$1.4万 | 1,919 |
| 30 | 0x1ede…46e8 | 34 | 30.1% | +1.0% | +5.3% | +$148.83 | 1,671 |
| 31 | 0x4755…4158 | 34 | 26.7% | +1.7% | −1.8% | +$156.47 | 104 |
| 32 | 0xccd8…f4de | 34 | 24.3% | +3.2% | −10.3% | +$8,968 | 3,327 |
| 33 | 0x2294…4cd3 | 34 | 21.9% | +2.1% | +70.7% | +$2,560 | 943 |
| 34 | 0x40ee…949b | 31 | 29.4% | +0.3% | 不适用 | +$5.55 | 69 |
| 35 | 0x7418…251f | 31 | −32.0% | −2.1% | −1.5% | +$1,326 | 312 |
| 36 | 0x6fa7…907e | 27 | 18.1% | +17.4% | +23.7% | +$6,831 | 892 |
| 37 | 0x6211…b89e | 27 | −76.6% | −6.7% | 不适用 | +$334.98 | 54 |
| 38 | 0x9aeb…2729 | 26 | −23831% | −14.9% | −24.3% | +$22.95 | 759 |
| 39 | 0xde7b…5f4b | 25 | −130% | −7.6% | −21.0% | +$2,082 | 841 |
| 40 | 0xeebe…72f2 | 25 | −239% | −9.4% | −103% | +$202.05 | 92 |
| 41 | 0xcb89…a2e8 | 25 | −297% | −2.4% | −0.7% | +$127.46 | 400 |
| 42 | 0x93cc…6ffc | 23 | 12.1% | +1.7% | 0.0% | +$146.47 | 53 |
| 43 | 0x9a3f…914a | 22 | −10.5% | −1.4% | +8.6% | +$9,836 | 2,489 |
| 44 | 0x6085…4219 | 21 | −508% | −27.8% | −9.5% | +$941.58 | 627 |
| 45 | 0x6ffb…a834 | 21 | −694% | −17.5% | −29.9% | +$195.83 | 289 |
| 46 | 0x21d0…ce91 | 19 | 5.8% | +3.1% | +7.6% | +$2,194 | 1,509 |
| 47 | 0xd487…053e | 19 | −846% | −4.5% | −2.2% | +$378.17 | 4,106 |
| 48 | 0xfa12…9ff3 | 18 | −96.1% | −8.2% | −33.8% | +$434.13 | 338 |
| 49 | 0xe53c…e569 | 17 | 2.8% | +0.9% | +16.8% | +$2,200 | 2,447 |
| 50 | 0x33ab…9523 | 16 | 1.7% | +0.1% | +7.0% | +$84.38 | 1,336 |
怎么看这个榜单
- 收益保留率：跟单者盈亏除以交易员在同等每笔金额下的盈亏。超过 100% 说明模拟跟单结果好于交易员；“不适用”表示交易员本身亏损，没有收益可保留。
- 样本外收益率：排名区间之后 7 天内的模拟跟单收益率，用来检验排名在之后是否还成立。为什么这很重要。
- 交易员盈亏只作参考，不影响排名。
其他榜单
过往结果不代表未来表现。本榜单是模拟跟单结果的排序，不是跟单推荐。交易员只以地址和 Polymarket 公开昵称标识。