Polymarket 文化类交易员模拟跟单榜（晚 5 分钟跟单）
按跟单者能保留多少收益排序，而不是按交易员自己赚了多少。每位交易员的买入都按跟单延迟、以当时真实能买到的价格重放，并扣除滑点和手续费。回测评分（0–100）综合了收益保留率、成交率和样本量。
跟单延迟
样本外窗口
文化类盈亏榜前 20 名中有 5 人，晚 5 分钟跟单会让跟单者亏钱。
| 排名 | 交易员 | 评分 | 收益保留率 | 跟单收益率 | 样本外收益率（7 天） | 交易员盈亏 | 买入笔数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0xb084…9781 | 80 | 98.4% | +15.0% | −103% | +$470.91 | 60 |
| 2 | 0xb260…715a | 49 | 50.3% | +9.3% | +62.0% | +$2,583 | 649 |
| 3 | 0x7426…7b6d | 44 | 46.0% | +18.7% | +0.1% | +$1,153 | 289 |
| 4 | 0xb028…8686 | 38 | 36.6% | +26.8% | −90.5% | +$1,129 | 161 |
| 5 | 0x88b6…3cff | 34 | 30.1% | +18.7% | +2.6% | +$736.08 | 225 |
| 6 | 0x1ede…46e8 | 34 | 30.1% | +1.0% | +5.3% | +$148.83 | 1,671 |
| 7 | 0x33f8…c5e4 | 33 | 28.6% | +24.6% | −9.9% | +$1,864 | 810 |
| 8 | 0xe904…2d9f | 26 | 15.5% | +37.8% | +28.9% | +$7,449 | 392 |
| 9 | 0x9aeb…2729 | 26 | −23831% | −14.9% | −24.3% | +$22.95 | 759 |
| 10 | 0x2a01…6397 | 25 | 10.3% | +3.1% | +2.0% | +$4,506 | 968 |
| 11 | 0xf9db…8dc1 | 24 | 12.2% | +16.5% | −38.9% | +$3,921 | 283 |
| 12 | 0xd1c7…1d2b | 22 | 8.9% | +0.2% | 0.0% | +$88.77 | 680 |
| 13 | 0x44c1…ebc1 | 21 | −25.9% | −6.3% | +9.6% | +$2,618 | 380 |
| 14 | 0x7b2f…7f5c | 20 | 7.9% | +115% | 不适用 | +$2,131 | 257 |
| 15 | 0x7056…c95c | 20 | 6.5% | +14.8% | +2.4% | +$4,014 | 249 |
| 16 | 0x01e9…5250 | 19 | 7.2% | +7.5% | −1.6% | +$1,074 | 559 |
| 17 | 0x9199…dd2d | 19 | 6.9% | +17.9% | +60.6% | +$1,463 | 159 |
| 18 | 0x66cb…3dd2 | 19 | 6.8% | +7.8% | +204% | +$881.49 | 319 |
| 19 | 0xdff8…3c8b | 19 | 5.9% | +48.9% | −7.8% | +$1,376 | 351 |
| 20 | 0xab21…c521 | 18 | 4.9% | +2.7% | +0.9% | +$287.98 | 350 |
| 21 | 0x014c…820c | 18 | 4.8% | +7.9% | −1.7% | +$2,102 | 467 |
| 22 | 0xfa12…9ff3 | 18 | −96.1% | −8.2% | −33.8% | +$434.13 | 338 |
| 23 | 0xbe74…a70e | 17 | 1.9% | +1.7% | −2.4% | +$7,494 | 2,544 |
| 24 | 0x6385…93f2 | 17 | −13.7% | −9.1% | +0.2% | +$1,189 | 180 |
| 25 | 0x1f0a…f7aa | 17 | −23.3% | −3.0% | −0.5% | +$1,477 | 1,196 |
| 26 | 0x2824…a954 | 16 | 2.3% | +13.7% | −106% | +$4,154 | 598 |
| 27 | 0xb1ca…1705 | 16 | 1.4% | +9.4% | −36.7% | +$1.4万 | 857 |
| 28 | 0x45bb…41a7 | 16 | 0.3% | +0.6% | 0.0% | +$3,997 | 774 |
| 29 | 0xc58f…e0aa | 16 | −14.0% | −5.8% | +125% | +$975.85 | 246 |
| 30 | 0x9d80…fcaf | 16 | −94.6% | −5.0% | −17.8% | +$285.94 | 600 |
| 31 | 0x6936…a45e | 15 | −7.2% | −2.8% | −10.1% | +$326.72 | 284 |
| 32 | 0x709a…7e39 | 15 | −90.5% | −26.5% | +1.6% | +$276.96 | 71 |
| 33 | 0x3a7b…08ae | 13 | 0.9% | +8.8% | 0.0% | +$712.92 | 93 |
| 34 | 0x8457…87fd | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 不适用 | +$25.65 | 90 |
| 35 | 0x8aac…309a | 12 | −77.2% | −11.5% | +97.4% | +$30.51 | 35 |
怎么看这个榜单
- 收益保留率：跟单者盈亏除以交易员在同等每笔金额下的盈亏。超过 100% 说明模拟跟单结果好于交易员；“不适用”表示交易员本身亏损，没有收益可保留。
- 样本外收益率：排名区间之后 7 天内的模拟跟单收益率，用来检验排名在之后是否还成立。为什么这很重要。
- 交易员盈亏只作参考，不影响排名。
其他榜单
过往结果不代表未来表现。本榜单是模拟跟单结果的排序，不是跟单推荐。交易员只以地址和 Polymarket 公开昵称标识。